Americans recognized: it is impossible to protect the Baltic States.

In America, they say again that NATO will not be able to prevent Russia’s invasion of the Baltic countries. But now there are very different reasons why Americans will not be able to save Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania: bad roads and unreliability of European allies. It is not possible to protect the Baltic from occupation by NATO forces; hence the conclusion inevitably follows: is it not better to immediately give it to Russia?

 

 

“NATO has forces of reduced composition on the front lines at the borders with Russia. The reserves will have to overcome hundreds of kilometers. And any delays due to bureaucracy, poor planning and dilapidated infrastructure will allow Russia to seize NATO territory in the Baltics even before the US military fills all 17 forms necessary for crossing the border of Germany and Poland, “writes one of the most respectable and influential publications USA – The Washington Post.

Chief of the European Bureau of the Washington Post in Brussels, Michael Birnaum transmits information from Polish Suwalki about one of the White House military games, which analyzed the possibility of responding to Russia’s aggression in the Baltics.

According to the results of the game, NATO will lose to Russia a war for the Baltic states.

And he will lose for discouraging reasons.

“Army ATVs will be dragged along the narrow roads for slow-moving freight wagons, moving eastward across Europe. Rusted bridges can collapse under the weight of American tanks, because they are too weak. And the transfer of troops can be delayed by annoying passport controllers and stubborn railway companies, “writes the Washington Post.

The White House military game, to which the publication refers, proves that the military protection of NATO in the Baltic is useless in principle and this is due to systemic reasons.

In order to effectively protect the Baltic States from possible aggression, the Alliance forces, whose help the allies count on, must first be in the Baltic states.

 

The NATO contingent at Russian borders should be comparable to the US military presence in West Germany at the peak of the Cold War. Then one American grouping, a few kilometers from the border of the eastern bloc, numbered 200,000 people-it’s not for you four rotational battalions of a thousand people each in Poland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.

Will the North Atlantic alliance have enough human and material resources for such a military contingent on the Russian border – a controversial issue.

For Americans, a more important and even more controversial question is whether the US should spend enormous resources to ensure the security of countries that do not represent any value to them?

After all, we are talking about the fact that hundreds of thousands of American citizens must settle on the shores of the Baltic Sea and live in countries whose own citizens flock in large numbers. Moreover, to ensure that this entire crowd repulsed the Kremlin’s attack without falling into the road pits and not collapsing into the Daugava and the Niemen from rusty bridges, America must repair the Baltic roads and build new bridges.

Only the United States is not the Soviet Union to deal with such things. Even in the “golden” times for Eastern Europe, the times of Clinton and Bush, when Washington turned the former socialist camp into a “sanitary cordon” from Russia, America did not build ports, bridges and roads for its satellites.

What can we say about the era of Donald’s “America first” Trump, when investing billions of dollars in US allies instead of helping his dying “rusty belt” is considered a crime in the American society against the nation?

So placing hundreds of thousands of American marines in the Baltics in practice is unrealistic. But it is unrealistic and time to help Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia before they are occupied by Putin. And not only because of the “dead” roads of Eastern Europe, rusty bridges and a narrow railway track in the Baltic states, different from the European one.

European allies on NATO can simply betray the Baltic states and prevent the Americans from coming to her aid in time to avoid a full-scale war in Europe.

“So, Germany allows trucks with tanks and other heavy equipment to be transported on motorways only at night and on weekends. Sweden, not part of NATO, but working closely with it, requires notifying it in three weeks about sending troops and military equipment to its territory, “writes the Washington Post and quotes the story of US Major General Stephen Shapiro as to how he fill out 17 forms to obtain permission to transfer troops from the German port of Bremerhaven to their destination in Poland.

Appeal to bureaucracy in the European Union is frankly comical. One can imagine an anecdotal situation: Russian tanks are already approaching Riga and Tallinn, and Americans can not go through border control. Migration services are interested in them for the purpose of the visit, and customs officers ask how many soldiers carry cigarettes with them and do not hide prohibited substances in their “abrams”.

In fact, it’s a different matter. The Germans or Swedes least of all need a big war in the Baltic Sea region, so Europeans can allow Putin to quickly seize Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and slow down the movement of American troops to the theater of operations in order to avoid a bloody massacre for useless Estonians, Latvians and Lithuanians .

It turns out that NATO is not able to protect the Baltic countries for systemic reasons, and the problem is not solved by strengthening the mana


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