Simulation of the Third World War.

Симуляция Третьей мировой. Достаточно ли сил и средств сегодня у России, чтобы противостоять НАТО

Is there enough forces and means today Russia to counter NATO ?

Judging by the area covered and the involved forces, the Russian military exercises serve as a warning to NATO. This was said in a March 19 report, the US private intelligence and analysis company Stratfor.

Russia is interested in a show of force “to dissuade anyone from radical action on Ukraine”, according to the report. US expressed caution – to postpone the deployment of 300 of its military in the west of the country, although they insist that their arrival is still possible and appropriate order may be given in April, says Stratfor.

In addition, conducting exercises of this magnitude, Russia responds to the dynamics of the NATO military exercises in Eastern Europe, the report says. Initially, it was stated that the exercises will focus on the problems of the Northern Fleet in order to check the speed of deployment of Novaya Zemlya and Franz Josef Land, but then maneuvers gained a much larger scale. However, as analysts said the company, the Russian exercises are held in the same territories, which usually holds its NATO exercises.

According to Stratfor, the teaching look like “simulation full-scale confrontation with NATO,” which were involved strategic nuclear forces: Strategic Rocket Forces, strategic bombers and nuclear submarines.


The total increase in the rate of Russian military activity, the growth of the presence of NATO and the large number of scientists in Eastern Europe are reminiscent of a show of force times “cold war,” the report said.

Recall March 16 in Russia began one of the largest in recent years large-scale sudden check readiness of the Armed Forces. She touched all five operational-strategic commands and connections under the Central Government. The main focus of the inspection was made on the conduct of hostilities diverse forces in the Arctic zone, but then in the exercises were involved armed forces in all strategic directions. So, March 20 peacekeeping units of the Central Military District have worked to create a buffer zone between the conflicting parties and conditional delivery of humanitarian aid. The exact number of troops involved in the exercises is unknown, but it is clear that the test covers almost the entire country.

According to Gen. Yuri Baluyevsky, head of the General Staff in 2004-2008, “spot checks were always – and during the Soviet era, and in the days of the Russian army since Peter the Great.” However, events of this magnitude, according to Baluyevsky, “imply the presence of additional forces and resources, primarily oil and lubricants (POL).” “In my time, the issue of ensuring the Army POL was really critical, exactly the same as the total financing of the army, so the spot checks, of course, were, but they were carried out according to the capabilities they provide,” he said.

The last three years, Russian military exercises in scope completely incomparable with NATO, says Deputy Director of the Institute of Political and Military Analysis Alexander Hramchihin.

– It happens that some of our maneuvers involved so much effort and money as the Alliance does not attract a whole year. And this despite the fact that all NATO exercises are usually planned and the date of their known almost a year, our own – mostly unannounced. And here it is worth paying attention to one thing: if the teachings are rosy, it means that they actually failed. Hence, they are not and sudden. The greater the problems identified during maneuvers, the better.

“SP»: – Stratfor calls the current exercise “simulating full-scale confrontation with NATO” …

– Generally, any doctrine – is a simulation of the war. It is in the North Atlantic alliance ever since the end of the “cold war” introduced a completely idiotic practice – simulate strange fighting, some peacekeeping peacekeeping operations, which, by and large, are not relevant to the tasks of the armed forces. Therefore, by the way, NATO countries and have fallen since last year in a panic because they understand their unwillingness to war. Our armed forces are normal exercises, such as they should be. The United States on its territory and carry out military maneuvers, but their scope is still with our incomparable, especially for the Army.

“SP”: – In spite of the fact that under the current exercise is also practiced the task of combating terrorism, but, judging by the scale, we are still moving away from the practice of calling all the teachings of anti-terrorism, even if the maneuvers involved SNF …

– Of course, this is absurd on account of the fight against terrorism is gradually disappearing because a few years ago actually exercises the Strategic Missile Forces explained the fight against terrorism that does not climbed in any gate. With regard to mining counter saboteurs, it is quite logical actions as zabroska RDG – an integral part of the war.

The United States are more focused on exercises with its allies. The teachings of this magnitude, which are now in our country, for them is a rare case, the director of the Center for Strategic conditions Ivan Konovalov.

– In general, they planned, but are held frequently. Although the recent deployment of three thousand groups in the Baltic States with the assistance of tanks M1A2 Abrams, M2A3 Bradley armored vehicles and equipment serving looks like an unscheduled event. His goal – to “show of force” in order to, firstly, to show respect to the new members of the Alliance, NATO support them, and secondly, to show the teeth of the Russian Federation. The maneuvers in the United States and Canada also do not differ scale, and by the way, basically called not a scientist, and training.

In the current exercise, which affected all operational-strategic commands, in fact, there is nothing unusual. When Sergei Shoigu in 2012 became minister of defense, unannounced inspections have become quite routine thing for our armed forces, which, incidentally, was not after the collapse of the USSR.

But it should be noted that now the doctrines against the backdrop of a very serious deterioration of relations between the West and Russia. Of course, a demonstration of the combat capability of Russia – this is an extremely important factor. Now NATO military experts are closely monitoring our teachings, and their overall evaluation is to ensure that the Russian army has become a serious force, which is in constant combat readiness. Promise of military maneuvers is the following thesis: “We do not show aggression, but demonstrate its readiness for any eventuality. You can see for themselves what is now Russia’s armed forces and draw appropriate conclusions. “

Leading Research Fellow, Department of regional security RISS Candidate of Military Sciences Vladimir Karjakin notes: the correlation of forces of the Russian Federation and NATO said that the Alliance can not objectively create a significant advantage in the operational areas of land theater.

– The geographical location of our country allows the Armed Forces to increase operational groups in the border areas. For instance, before strikes against Iraq, the Americans two and a half months grouping formed in the Gulf countries, driven aircraft carriers. It is clear that if all of a sudden they start to build up forces for an attack on Russia, this would require quite a long time, during which we will be able to pre-emptive strike. But that’s not the case, and that there is no unity in the alliance, moreover, a syndrome of Germany’s defeat in World War II in one way or another, but there is a European mentality when it comes to confrontation with Russia.

In the United States, despite all the declarations of their leaders and commanders, they will not bind to nuclear power. And they do not want a repeat of Iraq and Afghanistan in Europe. Thus, Americans will continue to conduct exercises with allies, to support anti-Russian sentiments in Eastern Europe. Europeans and do not mind screaming about Russian danger to receive from the United States or that assistance.

In general, the US and Europe will continue to lead us technological and information war against the background of the exercises near our borders, but actual combat it will not come.

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