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“Gauges” deal a blow to US-led coalition?

«Калибры» наносят удар по американской коалиции

Operations Room) in the Aleppo area, staffed by personnel of the intelligence services. Before the “semi-secret” facility on September 20 has been designated as a target for Russian missiles strike, it operated US intelligence officials, the UK, Israel, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

According to news agency Fars News, a blow to the Intelligence object was caused by the Russian side immediately after the US Air Force air strikes in the area of Deir ez-Zor on the armed forces of Syria in support of terrorists LIH *. “Russian warships positioned off the coast of Syria, fired destroyed aiming and foreign military operations center, killing more than two dozen Israeli and foreign officers.”

Killed 30 Western intelligence officers, but the noise did not raise ?

  “Russian warships fired three missiles” Caliber “for foreign officers coordinating operations center in the area of Dar Ezza (Dar Ezza) in the western part of Aleppo near Mt. Saman (Sam’an), killing 30 Israeli and foreign officers.”

The operations center was located in the western part of Aleppo province near Mount Saman, where there are many ancient caves. The region is located in the depths of the mountain range.

Fars news agency report leaves the impression that the “operations center” was staffed mainly by Israeli soldiers. In all likelihood, plant managers to the United States, and subject to coordinated the local allies of Washington in close connection with the US military and intelligence agencies.

Except agency Fars and Sputnik Arabic, Russian news about the attack against the intelligence of the object of the coalition led by the United States, do not hit the headlines. In fact, there is a total blackout. Reliability Fars agency posts have yet to be confirmed.

An important fact is that the operations center, located in the area of Aleppo in the territory held by rebels, was manned by personnel of the countries that are major state sponsors LIH and Al-Qaeda in Syria **. Namely: the US, Britain (actively participated in air strikes) and four countries in the region – Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Israel and Qatar. The respective roles of the four countries in the region with regard to the recruitment, training, logistics and financing of terrorism, have been adequately documented.

This operations center (ie, combat information center) in the region of Aleppo as well as field operations centers in other regions (in the territories controlled by the militant forces) are in constant communication with the centers of the military command and control of the United States, Israel and their allies .

It should be recalled that in October 2015, Obama announced that he has sent US special operations forces for action in Syria, allegedly anti-terrorist operations against LIH. These forces US special operations were “include at least 50 special operations advisers, who will work the resistance forces fighting against the Islamic State in the north of Syria, but will not participate directly in hostilities (Washington Post, October 30, 2015).

They will not participate in the fighting, they will be busy «’s advisory” activity – that is, both within the rebel units, and in the field of operational centers.

In recent months, Washington confirmed that an additional 250 personnel of the US special operations forces should be deployed in Syria. A certain number of selected intelligence officers had to be attributed to field operational centers. This sending US special forces coincided with the influx of thousands of newly recruited “jihadist mercenaries” who have joined the ranks of the various terrorist groups. It was reported that “thousands of terrorists” had crossed the Turkish-Syrian border in early May 2016, to accommodate for fighting against government forces in Aleppo area.

The operations center in the region of Aleppo was used to coordinate actions on the ground with intelligence activities drones and air strikes. According to the Fars agency, the personnel of intelligence attributed to the destruction of Russia Operations Centre US-led coalition, also participated in the planning and implementation of the US Air Force attack on the Syrian armed forces (Syrian SAA forces), which was held immediately after the conclusion of the Geneva Agreement on ceasefire .

operational centers based in Syria kept in touch with the American and Allied command, as well as special forces (including Western military personnel employed by private mercenary companies), integrated into the various insurgent and terrorist groups, including LIH and Al-Nusra ***.

The existence and location in the region of Aleppo operations center was to be known as the Russian military and the Syrian government. And (until recently), they put up with it. Until recently, no action has been taken against the center.

According to the news agency Fars News Agency, the matter appears therefore that Moscow has decided to choose an operational headquarters in Aleppo region immediately after the decision of the Pentagon ordered the US Air Force air strikes on Syrian government forces, participated in combat operations against terrorists LIH in Deir ez-Zor .

For message Fars News Agency on the Russian attack against the CIA-NATO object of any other messages in other media is not followed. How not followed and evidence at an official level.

Assuming that the message Fars New Report authentically Russian attack against an operational center coalition led by the United States, has serious implications. Is this a precedent created? Russian attack led by the United States subject to retaliation for the attack on the Syrian armed forces in Deir ez Zor?

This is a potentially dangerous watershed in the evolution of the war in Syria, which must be considered in the broader context of the escalation of hostilities.

However, at the same time, the operational center is undeclared Intelligence object. Washington did not recognize its existence, and Moscow has not given official confirmation of the attack. Russian media are silent on this issue – as well as Washington. Neither party is not interested in making this a public issue.

Author – Michelle Hosudovsky, Professor of Economics, University of Ottawa (Canada), founder and director of the Center for the Study of Globalization (Centre forResearch on Globalization [CRG], Montreal, Canada). He worked as advisor to the governments of developing countries and international organizations. Author of 11 books, participated in the preparation of Encyclopaedia Britannica. In 2014 he was awarded the Gold Medal “For Merit” of the Republic of Serbia for the coverage of the NATO aggression against Yugoslavia.

Copyright © Prof Michel Chossudovsky, Global Research, 2016.

“North fist” against the United States Russia: Kaliningrad and the threat of nuclear forces.

Leonid Nersisian

After the beginning of the crisis Ukrainian stream anti-Russian propaganda in the world reached a magnitude since the Soviet Union. But if in most EU countries are relatively neutral forces calling for reconciliation, the Nordic countries and the Baltic line towards Russia as much as possible radical and destructive. In these countries, the US influence is constantly growing: in the Baltic Independent States is no longer quite as well in Scandinavia process actively goes in the same direction. Interestingly, of the four Nordic countries (otnesёm them and Finland – it does not always appear in this geographical concept) NATO includes only Norway and Denmark, and Sweden and Finland until adhere to non-aligned status, at least in words. Nevertheless, the wave of anti-Russian hysteria and the militarization of engulfing and these two states.

In the course is disinformation and lies at the highest level: that only cost the story of the Russian nuclear submarine allegedly swim in Swedish territorial waters. But that’s why it took a heavy missile submarines there to swim and how such an object could be missed, no one answered – irresponsibility in politics is now in vogue. Norway is generally constantly pours “crocodile tears” – drawing attention to the flights of Russian strategic aviation (which, incidentally, never violate any boundaries), and most recently put forward a ridiculous assumption that Russian research vessels “spies” for them, Located in a former submarine base Olavsvern. Base, the authorities in Norway a few years ago sold themselves as the cost of its operation was huge, and large military sense it was not – in the war with Russia alone will not save it, though, and really is a powerful refuge for submarines, and the global conflict underwater part of the Navy (Navy) Norway is negligible force – only six diesel-electric submarines class Ula.

Rhetoric in Denmark and Finland is not that hard, and the number of absolutely obvious misinformation voiced by officials, much less. But we of the words. And the actions are no different – Denmark has already agreed to take part in the formation of European missile defense system (Euro-ABM), and Finland is actively developing its interaction Armed Forces (AF) with the armies of other Nordic and Baltic countries (especially Sweden) and, of course, with the US Armed Forces .

Military tandem Sweden – Finland

Most actively goes establish the military tandem Sweden – Finland, and although the intention to establish a military alliance with the participation of these countries have been officially denied, in fact, the opposite occurs. Countries expressed their willingness to establish joint land and naval brigade, and in late March held joint exercises of the Air Force (IAF). They also attended the US Air Force who flew into Estonian Amari airfield. Moreover – Air Force integration of the two countries will continue to grow – instead of 62 aging American fighter F / A-18 is going to Finland to buy or Swedish SAAB JAS-39 Gripen new modification or French Dassault Rafale, moreover most likely choice will fall on “Swedes”. In both cases, the interaction of the Air Force will grow significantly, and in the case of the purchase of JAS-39 will peak – even weapons and spare parts will be unified.

Now, the key challenge for the United States in this area is drawing these countries into NATO. Population of states actively preparing for it – in the case of another escalation of Ukrainian conflict, the entry of Sweden and Finland in NATO could be a matter of time.

Baltic bridgehead

Active placement of US troops on the territory of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, as well as going there permanently NATO exercises indicate that these three countries will lay a foundation for NATO forces, including aviation Scandinavian countries. The geographical location of these countries can simultaneously apply a blow out in the direction of the Kaliningrad region surrounded by NATO and in the direction of Leningrad and Pskov regions. The armed forces themselves Baltic countries is extremely weak and few – in the amount they can only put about 23 thousand soldiers, it does not boast any significant amount of military equipment, and the Air Force in these countries are virtually absent. So that the main role of these states – become a springboard for NATO troops and the battlefield – not the most promising prospects, but it can not be interested in anti-national authorities of these countries, “dancing to the tune of” overseas “ally”.

Norway: Arctic Oil bait

Among the Scandinavian countries, Norway is different, perhaps, the highest degree of anti-Russian hysteria. And unlike the Baltic states – there is also a substrate material – namely Arctic oil reserves, which the Norwegians have serious types, however, as we are. It is applied to pressure from the US, leading to a unique “resonance”. In addition, Americans can “warm up” the Arctic appetite Norwegians, killing two birds with this – creating a new enemy for Russia and increasing its supply of arms. Thus, Norway is in a kind of “trap”, which is based her own energy ambitions. With regard to purely military component – that Norway is strong for its Air Force and Navy, as well as a high level of training soldiers. Very soon will begin deliveries of American fighters 5th generation F-35, which will be purchased in the amount of 52 units, in addition to (and in the future – for replacement) to 57 F-16s.

“North fist” against Russia

As we can notice, the above countries increasingly militarized and unite around an anti-Russian ideology. Under the auspices of the US military formed a kind of “fist” threatening the north-western borders of Russia. What forces and in what areas can be brought against the Russian Federation, these states?

1) Powerful air grouping capable of acting from Murmansk to Kaliningrad region – the entire length of the conventional front lines. In total it includes nearly 300 fighters – 62 F-18s, 134 JAS-39 Gripen and 102 F-16s. All planes of easy class, but a good level and in a very serious amount.

2) Two naval force – the first in the “Northern Seas” (North, Norwegian, Barents), represented mainly by the Norwegian Navy. It includes 5 frigates type Fridtjof Nansen, equipped with anti-ship missiles (ASM) Naval Strike Missile and combat information and control system Aegis, 6 missile boats Skjold type with the same rockets and 6 type diesel submarines Ula.

The second – in the Baltic Sea, represented the Navy Finland, Sweden and Denmark. Here, the battle can be thrown: 5 Danish frigates with US Harpoon anti-ship missiles and a good air defense system; 5 Swedish diesel-electric submarines with torpedoes and 9 corvettes with RCC RBS-15, 5 of which class Visby, created by technology “Stealth”; 8 Finnish missile boats with RCC RBS-15 (maximum launch range of 200 km), mine-layers 6 and 13 minesweepers.

3) The Army – Danish forces here, we will not consider because they are geographically more “detached” from the scene. Finland, Sweden and Denmark in the sum can put 31,000 soldiers, 284 German Leopard 2 and about 1,000 units of various artillery. More 23000, however, very much least to start with technology, have the Baltic countries. As you can see, the land forces – the most weak point of these countries.

In addition, there is the American presence in the Baltic States – while small, only a few dozen pieces of equipment and several hundred military personnel, who have officially arrived at the doctrine, but there is not much in a hurry to go back to the US.

Kaliningrad region – the purpose №1

Kaliningrad region, located virtually surrounded by NATO forces, due to the presence of only land borders with Poland and Lithuania is the most vulnerable target for a potential enemy. Already Lithuania often arranges problems in moving goods on its territory, it is theoretically possible to complete the land blockade, as well as energy.

Russian forces stationed in the Kaliningrad region, not very large, but actively rearming, for example, in 2012 there were the most advanced anti-aircraft missile systems S-400. However, a small number of troops – about 10 thousand people.

Simultaneously from Poland and the Baltic States in the fight can be thrown up to 80 thousand troops – and that without US support. Force “North fist” can be a powerful air support for ground forces by Polish and try to create a naval blockade of Kaliningrad. Resist this attempt to take full siege in Kaliningrad is the Baltic Fleet of the Russian Navy – his forces are roughly equal the combined forces of the Navy “Northern fist”: 2 destroyers Project 956, 2 modern patrol ship project 11540 (built using the technology of “Stealth”), 4 patrol boats 20380, 12 missile boats, 3 diesel-electric submarines. All these ships are armed with anti-ship missiles of various types, most of which outperforms the Scandinavian and American RCC. So that the victory in this confrontation is more dependent on the level of training of the crew and third-party factors such as intelligence, etc.

The task of the Armed Forces in the event of such an aggressive attempt to take the Kaliningrad region should be an early break through a land corridor through Latvia and Lithuania – there may be something to try to prevent ground forces and aviation Sweden, Norway and Finland, by linking part of the forces of the Western military district (ZVO) in Leningrad region . Of course, the secondary cooling power, which is concentrated to 40% of the personnel of the Armed Forces, is incomparably more powerful, but nevertheless forces “Northern fist” can buy time until the arrival of reinforcements from Western Europe and the United States.

Limited nuclear conflict

Is this realistic scenario of a major European war in the presence of large arsenals of strategic and tactical nuclear weapons from the opposing sides? If the main “battleground” will be the same the Baltic States, Poland, Belarus, Ukraine, Finland, Norway – ie non-nuclear states, it is real. Nuclear strikes will not be applied by states possessing them. Nevertheless, in this scenario, the use of tactical nuclear weapons is little doubt – this is especially important for us, as the number of NATO armies superior to our several times almost all indicators. As a result – the losers in such a war will be precisely those countries that are now the most stand up for the fight against Russia. And the winners will not be in it – both camps will have destroyed hundreds of thousands of soldiers and military equipment destroyed mountains. Nevertheless humanity, as history shows, can not long exist without wars – and their not in Europe (large) since 1945. How many more years of nuclear weapons can deter aggression and hatred? It is clear that the war would be burned in Europe in March, 2014, if not for this constraint.

Conclusions and prospects

1) “Northern Fist” is really formed. Its purpose is yet geopolitical pressure on Russia and endangering the Kaliningrad region.

2) groups of troops in Kaliningrad should be maintained as far as combat-ready state, its number, if possible, should be increased.

3) the United States by creating a “mini” military unit in Scandinavia and the Baltics more compressible ring of military encirclement of Russia.

4) Norway, despite its ambition, is still far from being able to compete with Russia in the Arctic. Russian Northern Fleet is a serious power with which it is impossible to compete with 6 diesel submarines, several frigates and missile boats. In Russia there are 45 submarines, including 23 nuclear power, aircraft carrier “Admiral Kuznetsov”, heavy nuclear cruiser “Peter the Great” and many other ships.

5) In addition to geopolitical reasons and the US struggle with Russia, there is a much more urgent task – to get to work on the military-industrial complex “fullest”, despite the economic problems in most European countries. Now, even conditionally poor Baltic states start to allocate any money for the purchase of military equipment.

6) The Great War in Europe can still occur – the voltage level at some point really close to critical. And the presence of a large number of weapons and active preparations for war can cause extra confidence.

7) The next step is to expand the project can become a European missile defense interceptors accommodation in Scandinavia. Missile defense system GMD (Ground-based Midcourse Defence) will be able to intercept part of Russian intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), flying over the North Pole to the United States. And most importantly, to intercept them before breeding fighting units – in fact most of the modern Russian ICBM has multiple warheads. Such an alignment is quite possible after 2020, when it will be implemented by the present stage of European missile defense and would be “brought to mind» GMD. The temptation to foment war after such a step would be, of course, even higher.

8) The countries included in this new anti-Russian bloc, are not beneficiaries – rather, it, in which case, have the worst of all, since it is they who will be the battleground. Prior to the United States, as before, far away.

9) All countries that are close to Russia and hosts the elements of the US missile defense must be notified at the highest level that they will be the very first target for the strategic nuclear forces of the Russian Federation, and they do not get security, and vice versa – a mortal danger. The application must not be at the level of ambassador, as was done in Denmark, and at the highest. The population of these countries needs to know what their governments are solutions.

 

 

 

 

NATO has no protection from the operation, the course which fulfills Russia.

У НАТО нет защиты от операции, ход которой отрабатывает Россия

The Russian army during the sudden teachings throws in the Kaliningrad region missiles “Iskander”, as Poland prepares to host the air and missile defense systems. The bad news for NATO is that in this case to oppose anything the Russian counterattack, it can not. Now it does not matter what happened before – the redeployment of Russian “Iskander” or attempt to probe placement in Poland missile defense system of unknown origin. The fact that the territory of the neighboring country with Russian missiles will air and missile defense, has long been known. And the fact that it can not be solved by diplomatic means, too, was known long before the Ukrainian events. It makes no sense to retell and prepositions that the US invented to justify the idea of ​​placing a missile defense system in close proximity to Russian borders. Who’s supposed to, and so they will remember: it was supposed to be protection against a non-existent Iranian threat posed by non-existent Iranian ballistic missiles with non-existent nuclear warheads. The ensuing discussion diplomatic disputes reminiscent of Spanish rabbis with Torquemada: the decision to deploy missile defense (expulsion of the Jews and Marranos) were still made in advance for reasons of mystical character, but still interesting to listen to. At the same time (almost ten years ago) was first told about the response deployment of Russian missile systems “Iskander-M”, precisely in the Kaliningrad region, and not somewhere else. These plans are strategic, they are known in advance – this is not the battalion group of marines, which can be flown anywhere. No one has made no secret of that system “Iskander” just was a response to the deployment of US missile defense systems, and in northern Poland (both on the southern flank of the response to a similar attempt in Romania was the transformation of Crimea into a fortress, teeming with exactly the kind of means of destruction). “Iskander” – “the perfect assassin” is precisely such systems that the US and NATO are trying to arrange a new, reinventing them in real-time theater. That the US “Patriot” that competing with them French counterparts are unable to repel the attack on themselves medium-range cruise missiles. Location in the Kaliningrad region “Iskander” makes a highly publicized NATO missile defense system in another target. In this sense, the remarkable number of mutually planned placement systems: the United States and Poland talking about batteries 9 “Patriot”, while talking about the alleged 10-powered Russian “Iskander”. This may well be true, because Washington does not have a free supply of missile defense systems and defense and the armed forces of the Russian Federation “accumulated” “Iskander” in the two theaters of military operations, which had never been in recent history. Moscow is able to consciously distribute high-precision weapons for several HPT, so even with the stock. In this context it is worth to look at some details of the sudden inspection training, running now in parts of the Western District, Northern and Baltic fleets, Airborne and Special Forces. Ivanovo paratroopers landing work out in the area of ​​Pechenga (ie, on the Norwegian border), Arctic brigade occupies the Franz Josef Land, the Northern Fleet relieve the so-called road Gorshkov – corridor progress in the North Atlantic from the coast of the Barents Sea between Norway and Iceland, and the long-range aviation eyeing Norway, Iceland and the UK. Like it or not, but this is the scenario of the Russian counter-attack in response to a possible NATO aggression. This scenario was developed in draft form in the Soviet period and since then has not lost its relevance. Change only the weapons and tactics of their application, but the meaning has remained virtually unchanged. In short, it is assumed that the collision of European Russia and NATO importantly – it’s a matter of time: how fast can (if he can) go to Europe reinforcements from North America (USA and Canada). The only way to deliver a very large masses of manpower and equipment were and will remain for a long time naval convoys. To stop the convoys, Russia must be brought under control of the North Atlantic area. And it is achievable to comprehensive amphibious operation in northern Norway with the capture airfields NATO, which there a lot, including a key one – Icelandic Keflavik. Keflavik provide control over the Russian Air Force (including strategic bombers) control over the entire Atlantic to the Azores – the southernmost point of the route potential convoys. Thus, the question of destruction of such convoys becomes purely technical. On the northern route, you can forget, the transfer to northern Norway and Iceland Russian special forces and air force will break the whole balance of forces in the European theater as a whole. At the same time, the Northern Fleet, including submarines with nuclear weapons, can freely pass into the Atlantic, then war can be considered complete. At this time, the Poles and 12 American tanks in Latvia can indefinitely (probably an hour and a half) to depict the heroic defense. But to ensure that developments may be, including, and after the opening of the airspace over the Baltic and Scandinavia (ie destruction of airfields and cover them), and for which there are “Iskander” in the Kaliningrad region and on the border with Estonia (in fact there are another Norwegian air defense system in Narvik and Mo i Rana). Special Forces and the Arctic with its quiet landing above the Arctic Circle – as it is now the Ivanovo paratroopers on the Norwegian border. This script is afraid of NATO, when so focuses on long claimed the idea of ​​relocation “Iskander”. The Alliance does not have a mobile defense system, many years of his military-strategic thought or idle at all, or focused on the execution of a foreign country “Tomahawk” without any resistance from the enemy. In our case, once the potential vulnerability of land – the Arctic Ocean – now turned almost into the lake. A group of US in the Persian Gulf has become vulnerable and our fleet (he appeared base in the region), and the response to missile attack. And most importantly: the plan to deal with counter-attacks, as described above, they still can not. That is why the placement of “Iskander” in the Kaliningrad region (even if temporary, as part of the exercise) has attracted much attention. It is, by the way, followed immediately after the final output of Russia from the CFE Treaty, which is formally proposed classifications affected. So the word Shoigu “on our territory where we want, and place there” is no surprise. But many people happy. Eugene Krutikov Source: http://vz.ru/politics/2015/3/17/734911.html

Source: http://politikus.ru/articles/45789-u-nato-net-zaschity-ot-operacii-hod-kotoroy-otrabatyvaet-rossiya.html
Politikus.ru

Russia will lose the war for America 360 minutes !

Dmitry Rogozin: “The United States can destroy a few hours up to 90% of our nuclear capability

In addition, he called the five kinds of threats to our country and stated the backlog on a number of critical core technologies from leading Western countries in some areas up to tens of years.”

Россия проиграет Америке войну за 6 часов

“For more than a decade in the United States worked out the concept of Prompt Global Strike. It provides striking non-nuclear weapons at any point on the planet in one hour, “- Rogozin said. According to a war game conducted by the Pentagon at the end of last year, with the help of 3.5-4 thousand. Units of US precision weapons can destroy 6 hours basic infrastructure facilities of the enemy and prevent him to resist,” – he added.

However, their creation is clearly serious problems may occur. “Today the backlog on a number of critical core technologies from leading Western countries is in some areas up to tens of years,” – said Deputy Prime Minister.

According to him, if such a blow will be inflicted on Russia, the main objectives will be the strength of the strategic nuclear deterrence. In essence, the US experts’ estimates, as a result of such an attack can be destroyed from 80 to 90 percent of our nuclear arsenal,” – said Deputy Prime Minister.

And despite the fact that Russia, according to its military doctrine is ready to use nuclear weapons in repelling aggression with conventional weapons, this is not enough. To withstand such a threat, according to Rogozin, can only be created “autonomous weapons” beyond the control of modern telecommunication technologies.

According to him soon catch up and overtake other, especially high-tech Western powers Russia is unlikely to work in all directions. The scientific potential of our country was virtually destroyed during the years of political stagnation,” – he said.

According to Rogozin, the backlog in the field of defense technologies can be eliminated due to the concentration of scientific potential of the military, scientists and technologists. A function of coordinating this work should be assigned to the Military Industrial Commission, which he himself had headed.

With regard to success, the Deputy Prime Minister noted that the growth rate for a number of branches of the military industry are much higher than that of the Russian economy as a whole. In addition, in 2012 nearly 500 defense enterprises were covered by technical re-equipment, 35 of them new facilities already in operation.

The modern threats to the country Rogozin identified 5 types. The first – a conflict with the country, surpassing Russia in terms of technology. Such a war will be waged in a contactless manner (the above example with the United States). The second – a conflict with an equal potential of the country, when you need to fear superiority of the enemy on the important areas of confrontation. The third and fourth local wars, the type of Afghanistan and Chechnya, as well as countering terrorism. According to Rogozin, it is necessary to create such weapons that will destroy the insurgents and terrorists, avoiding civilian casualties. By the way, Deputy Prime Minister said that in order to identify terrorists on the borders of Russia plans to create a fundamentally new information system, the outlines of which are already being worked out. Well, while the fifth is concerned with the development of the Arctic shelf. Active development of the Arctic shelf will inevitably lead to a conflict of interests between the two countries that impose their claims on its resources. It is possible that the opposition will go beyond diplomatic “- said Deputy Prime Minister. According to him, it is likely that the Russian oil and gas production facilities can become targets hidden sabotage on the part of competitors.”

Underestimate the threat to Russia’s security is not just stupid, and criminal, competition will take more aggressive forms. Russia does not intend to participate in the race of military technology as a bystander, “- said Rogozin.

Lethal Rubicon Obama !

Летальный Рубикон Обамы. Рискнут ли США поставить Порошенко тяжелое вооружение?

Whether to risk the US Poroshenko put heavy weapons?

As reported in the resurrection of the American edition of The New York Times, the Obama administration has never been closer to the realization of its long-standing threat. Washington could open for Ukraine “hot military-technical line.” We are talking about the supply of arms and all that can make Donbass capitulate.

However, on Monday, State Department spokesman Jen Psak clarified that the final decision on arms Ukraine yet. At the same time, she stressed that no options are not excluded.” On the question whether the supply of arms Kiev provoke indirect” US war with Russia, the speaker of the State Department said: “Nobody wants to” mediate “the war with Russia.”

Still surrounded Obama lacked unanimity on this issue. Since there was a danger to provoke an “arms race” in Ukraine within the framework of the so-called “Hybrid war”. In addition, it should be recognized that the supply of lethal military equipment, from the point of view of international law, may be regarded as interference in internal Ukrainian opposition. Crafty term “ATO”, invented by Kiev to not call a spade a spade, can hardly mislead international lawyers. Thus, the supply of weapons will be another step towards the escalation of tensions with the prospect of escalating “hybrid” war into a hot (between Russia and NATO under the auspices of the US). The first step in this direction has already been made a few days ago the head of the Ukrainian Defense Ministry Stepan Poltorak confirmed the participation of foreign nationals in the fighting on the side of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In fairness, it‘s about as long as volunteers.

Chief lobbyist of Ukraine means of warfare acts chief of the armed forces of the US and NATO in Europe, General Philip Breedlove. Until recently, an active opponent of this idea was the Advisor to the President for National Security Affairs Susan Rice. However, according to the publication, it is ready to change their point of view. “The President of the United States has not yet decided on the supply of such lethal aid. However, after a series of serious setbacks that Ukrainian forces have suffered in recent weeks, the Obama administration is considering new military aid, “says NYT. According to the newspaper, officials persuade Obama to send Kiev missiles, armored vehicles and radars worth $ 3 billion. A 2 February, a group of authoritative retirees represented by the former deputy head of the Pentagon Michele Flournoy, a former commander of NATO forces James Stavridis and the former US Ambassador to NATO Ivo Daldera provide justification to supply large quantities of weapons to Ukraine.

Prior to that put out the fire with gasoline in Ukraine, openly called only odious Senator McCain.

As evidence that the fatal Rubicon can be passed, advocates visit US Secretary of State John Kerry in Kiev, which will be held on February 5. In the Ukrainian capital, a senior official will arrive with an impressive backing band consisting of a Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff US Armed Forces General Martin Dempsey and assistant to the president for national security Susan Rice. According to the American edition of these policies declare the “openness to discuss the issue of granting Ukraine lethal aid.”

Recall still Washington supplied Ukraine so-called non-lethal weapons body armor, night vision devices, medical devices.

In a conversation with “SP” head of the analytical department at the Institute of Political and Military Analysis Alexander Hramchihin questioned the assertion that the heavy weapons of the American or NATO production was supplied to the theater of military operations in the Donbass.

Another thing is that this may be a former Soviet technique, which is still standing armed with Eastern European countries that are members of NATO. Such as Poland or Romania. Say that somewhere in the combat zone was discovered NATO caliber projectile is absurd. The question is, what does it shoot if the Ukrainian Soviet artillery designed to gauge?

A small arms found in Donetsk airport, generally does not prove anything. As you know, in the US it may acquire private person in the store. Ukraine has got it, most likely, with mercenaries from private military companies.

“SP”: Why, despite the bellicose statements, to the question of the supply of heavy weapons Washington fits very carefully?

Obama is in a very difficult position. It strongly presses Congress. On the other hand, the president of the United States understands that the results can be counterproductive. Open delivery of heavy weapons would only worsen the situation in Ukraine. Because Russia will then announce that it is also in this respect no more holding back. As a result of the military situation in Kiev will become not better, but worse.

“SP”: The more that Western weapons still need to learn.

If we are talking about serious art, rather than on small arms from the Soviet relearn on US weapons systems is very difficult. Accordingly, in the Ukraine in large numbers have to bring trainers from the US. That is, it will take time to introduce new technology. But what if these instructors taken prisoner? In addition, virtually guaranteed that the technology will have shtatovskih militias. Obama probably guess what this means. But apparently, the policy is often stronger than common sense.

“SP”: What kind of weapon in the first place asked to Kiev security forces?

They need any advanced weapons. But no one will sell. A cheap and modern does not happen. Even Poland refused to hand over the Soviet technique on grant terms. The only thing that may be involved, it’s about anti-military complex. Air defense Kiev do not need because of a lack of volunteers aviation. As for private aviation, Canada last year offered 20 cars free F-18, but the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine refused. And rightly so. Because in the development of this technology will take several years. And the amount of money will be spent on maintenance. It’s old aircraft. So we’ll have to prepare not only pilots, but also technicians. Plus we have the means to counter militia aviation.

In Ukraine and Soviet aircraft problems. Why would she need the same old, besides import?

“SP”: – And what about small arms and mortars?

This stuff they themselves drown. The only thing missing is the anti-missile systems. This is the most obvious option. But again just a few days after the receipt of the samples will be in the militia, and there may be sent to Russia. I think our military and technical specialists are waiting with bated hope present in the form of, for example, the anti-missile system the US Army Javelin. Any country is very interested in obtaining samples coming from other countries, it helps to develop their own military-industrial complex.

“SP”: The militia set a new goal – to reach the borders of the former Donetsk and Luhansk regions, and only from the position of a new line of contact to negotiate with Kiev. Ukraine satisfied with this option, or she prepares forces to counterattack?

I’m back in September, when they were entered into the Minsk Agreement, said that sooner or later a truce go into another full-scale war. Because both sides clearly “nedovoevali” and are confident that they have “stolen victory”. Right now they are dovoevyvat” as long as the parties are against the limit of their capabilities: human, moral, organizational, financial. Wars end only if at least one of the parties can not fight any more. Then she capitulates. If both can not, then they agree on the world. When this happens, then the war will end.

America does not go to the direct supply of weapons to Ukraine, as in this case Russia will get the moral right to mirror the action in response, said military analyst Michael Tymoshenko.

In fact, Ukraine, and without enough military equipment. As they say, a 20-year war without stopping. You just need to put in fighting shape his technique where wiring rotted where seals sagged. It is clear that the tanks, BPM, and so on for a long time stood on the storage bases, nobody renovate.

Aviation is the same story. In his time in Ukraine tank was almost more than we do (3000 pieces). Kharkov Plant. Malyshev produced T-64, produces new BMP.

“SP”: Why Kiev authorities are literally begging the US weapons. What are they missing?

– First of all mind. There’s no one to command. At all levels, starting with the sergeant. And recruits do not want to fight. Why would they put their heads with fools? Just look how people run from mobilization. How much equipment is not supplied, will still fight nobody.

Editor in chief of National Defense Igor Korotchenko not agree with the thesis that the Ukrainian army did not need military equipment.

To make political decisions deliver or not, will be Obama. Legal barriers no longer exist. Congress in December adopted the “Act on the support of Ukraine“, which involves any help until the supply of lethal weapons.

“SP”: This will be enough to break the resistance of the militias?

Immediately say, Ukraine will not deliver US weapons. And above all, of the former Warsaw Pact countries that are now included in NATO. That is, it will not be a new Soviet equipment. Hence, the sum of the US can finance the delivery or Poland or Hungary or the Czech Republic. It is possible that will be used barter schemes. That is, instead of the past in Ukraine Soviet weapons, these countries will receive US.

In addition, Washington can begin deliveries Kiev separate party special weapons, night vision devices, optics, military, communications, navigation, sniper weapons, radar to pinpoint the location of the artillery batteries. The main thing is the anti-tank weapons. Not to mention clothing, gear, body armor. Ukraine can also get American “Hummer”, based on which is mounted firearms.

“SP” a kind of modern “carts” during the Civil War, the beginning of XX century.

This is a much more serious armored vehicle.

“SP”: All of the above will change the balance of forces?

Of course. Because Ukraine will have quite a significant military arsenal, allowing it to better level to conduct military operations. In these circumstances, Russia, of course, will be forced to react. Both politically and practically. If Americans really begin large-scale arms supplies to Ukraine, it unleashes a Russian arms for similar actions against the armies of the DNI and the LC.
Already Ukrainian General Staff provides lists of the necessary equipment in the office of the US military attaché in Kiev. That is, all formal requests are made. It now remains the last word for Barack Obama, his hands are completely untied.

 

Ukraine would be the nuclear button?

Украина окажется ядерной кнопкой?. Горбачев полагает, что между США и Россией может начаться большая война. Многие опасаются того же

Gorbachev believes that the US and Russia could start a major war. Many fear the same!

The first and only president of the USSR Mikhail Gorbachev decided to loud rise from political oblivion. He warned the world that the Cold War between Russia and the United States has reached such a stage that can grow into a real fighting between the most powerful nuclear powers. He said: “Unfortunately, I can not say firmly that the Cold War did not result in a” hot “. I am afraid that they (the US – a comment. “JV”) may take the risk. “

It should be recognized that concerns policy that turned the former Soviet Union in the “thoroughfare” for the “masters of destinies” of world history from the American citadel of democracy,” not unfounded. Actually, the same thing and says the new military doctrine of the Russian Federation, adopted at the end of last year. In this important document for our country contains a provision on the possibility of a retaliatory nuclear strike in response to aggression, attack on the territorial integrity of the State or the protection of the existing political system from attacks from outside.

Recent developments in the South-East of Ukraine did not give a reason for historical optimism.

President of the National Strategy Institute Mikhail Remizov agrees with the assessment of the state of the current level of relations between Russia and the West as the Cold War. However, a direct analogy with the Cold War period of the bipolar world, in his opinion, is inappropriate.
– Now we are not talking about Russia’s claim to the status of second pole of power. Rather, we should talk about trying to fend off the geopolitical strategy of suffocation large, but a single country. In addition to, but not in the best socio-economic situation.

“SP”:(Free Press)– As far as the rights of Gorbachev, who predicts Russia and the West hot” phase of confrontation?
The main risk is not that the US and its Western allies declare open war on Russia. Rather, they can place the red flags” for which Moscow would not dare to go. Including in the form of its military presence on the territory of Ukraine. Option presence of US and NATO troops in Ukraine, this is the factor that will be Rubicon for Moscow.

“SP”: pro-American party in the parliament, which requires Poroshenko declared war on Russia, is controlled by a figure or valid internal logic of confrontation?

– The process is running, it has its own inertia. Therefore it is not so important, choreographed whether these actions directly or not. It is clear that the task of the ruling political class in Ukraine as closely as possible to draw the United States into a direct military confrontation with Russia. This would be an ideal option for them. At the same time these people completely overlook the fact that in this case it would be a battleground for Ukraine itself, from which in this case, there is little left. In fact, they just want to get direct security guarantees. The most obvious expression would be the presence of US military facilities in different regions of Ukraine

“SP”: It is a violation of the “Big Treaty”, and consequently – the abolition of the recognition of the territorial integrity of Ukraine by the Russian Federation?

After the reunification of the Crimea with Russia on this treaty can forget. This path could have been completed script section of Ukraine as a post-war Germany. That is a line from the West “stakeAmericans, we come from the East. And then there will be no reason to deny the recognition of the Donbas.

“SP”: What is the logic of Washington: blackmail RF expulsion from globalized “paradise”, customized for the interests of the United States after World War II, and further squeezed to the end?

– In my opinion, American politicians rather try to punish Moscow than affect its position. From the point of view of the Americans, Moscow has violated the rules of the global game, encroaching on US dominance in the world. And, then, the Russian Federation must be pointedly revealing and punished. It needs to scrub back to modest geopolitical corral”. When it is said that the sanctions would not change Moscow’s position for the United States is not important. The main thing is to show that the perpetrator punished. The second factor is to maintain the glow of the conflict that turns into a constant factor of the watershed between Russia and Europe. As well as creating an ideal area of vulnerability for Russia.

If on the territory of Ukraine will begin the negative dynamics of Washington (such as militias take new regions), it will ensure the presence there of troops of third countries (Poland, Lithuania) as a guarantee that this process will not go further.

Few serious analysts would deny that the Cold War between Russia and the West is, according to the chief of security solutions sector problems Centre for Defence Studies RISS Sergey Ermakov.

I would like to draw attention to something else, that during the Cold War we did not have “hot” touch.

“SP”: Well, what about Vietnam or North Korea in military engagements that involved not just Soviet equipment, but also pilots and instructors? From the United States – the same picture.

In fact, the Soviet Union and the United States then took part in a “hybrid war”. In Ukraine, the situation could reach a direct collision. It is a war in Europe, where we see the American experts, who act as volunteers.” The trend to the fact that the scope of their presence will only expand. The commander of the land forces in Europe, the United States recently visited Kiev. After that, there is talk of sending of American instructors.

“SP”: – How far can the “hot” contact other countries on the territory of Ukraine?

If the supply of arms to begin serious, it will be NATO equipment that Ukrainian recruits hardly learned in a short time. Have to involve the US military personnel. This will provoke Russia to “mirror measures”. In this situation, the probability of an armed clash very high. In a recent article in the Financial Times, former US ambassador to NATO, campaigning for direct delivery of lethal weapons. And the leadership of Poland said he was willing to sell Kiev Soviet heavy machinery.

“SP”: And what will happen if the militia would try to go beyond the NPT and LC, creating Crimean land corridor?” Radicals of Parliament voted for recognition of Russia aggressor country.” In such a situation may direct confrontation between Russia and NATO, going beyond “hybrid war”?

This is difficult to exclude.

“SP”: In the field of conventional arms, we are seriously losing the aggregate potential of the NATO countries. In this situation the nuclear club” our last argument?

I do not tend to hang on NATO derogatory labels such as “paper tiger.” Armaments is a huge potential, is ten times higher than the Russian. Only one US military budget exceeds the combined defense spending of all countries of the world. And if we add the potential of NATO, it is more than a trillion dollars a year.

“SP”: hardly makes sense to try to compete with NATO in the field of conventional arms?

In the new military program of the Russian Federation clearly spelled out the possibility to apply tactical nuclear weapons and strategic forces even if there is a threat of territorial integrity and Gosstroy. There is a certain “red line”, where NATO can use its full potential. This is the fifth article of the Washington Treaty. In fact, to expand all these “paper shelf”, will take time. To Spain, Portugal, Poland and the Baltic states at the same time lined up and made combat schedule.

“SP”: The Pentagon has already announced regrouping their units in areas adjacent to Ukraine NATO countries.

This applies to US forces in Europe (about 60,000 troops). According to Washington, it is the shock body of NATO, which can be use. And, of which 15 thousand – instantly, and the other by rotation.

“SP”: purely quantitative is not impressive.

Why? On a par with the proposed transaction deployment and mobilization. This will apply the most advanced guidance systems, anti-tank missiles that will reach advantage. There are no militias such equipment.

“SP”: How can Russia respond to explicit military intervention in Ukrainian events from the outside?

In military doctrine clearly written as soon as the threat to the territorial integrity and political system in Russia. Currently, the most obvious casus belli (casus belli – approx. Ed.) Is the Crimea. That neither Kiev nor the West do not recognize Russian. Any military operation against the Crimea entail answer all Russian power. Using a last resort – that is tactical (as necessary) and strategic nuclear forces.

“SP”: – How to behave in Turkey in case of aggression against the Crimea because of this power depends on compliance with the Convention of Montreux?

Going into the Black Sea, the Americans may try to implement the concept of rapid global strike using cruise missiles from aircraft carriers. On the other hand, such an escalation are not interested, not only we, but also the West. By the way, Turkey, regardless of their membership in NATO and the distance can not get involved in this conflict. Ankara may refuse to provide the Straits and the airbase.

In Eastern Europe, the US has a number of countries (Poland, the Baltic countries), which is sufficient in terms of military tactics to wage war against Russia. This is a very lucrative foothold. On the other hand, there is not yet placed base for storage of nuclear weapons. Although emergency Brussels will speak about “unforeseen circumstances” that require response. However, the question for the West to respond using tactical nuclear weapons has not been fully resolved.

There are serious concerns that such a turn of events would require the use of strategic nuclear weapons. In response, Russia has no choice but to use its full potential. This is a well-informed Western partners. That’s why they try not to be the escalation of the conflict in this stage.

NATO countries rely on the latest conventional weapons that will knock out the militia to the border with Russia. And this would be sufficient. Talk about how Moscow would react to the military presence of NATO in the Donbass – is from speculation. Incontestable red line– a territory of Russia, part of which appears Crimea.

 

Today launched the mechanism of the collapse of oil and the dollar !

Сегодня был запущен механизм крушения нефте-доллара

No wonder the last US presidential herself Jen Psak constantly confused in their statements of Iraq and Iran – is even symbolic. Smashed Iraq and roll in the dust of Libya, the Americans stumbled on Syria and Iran on rasshibut your stars and stripes forehead.
We have already talked to you about that after the abolition of the Bretton Woods agreement might actually hold the US currency on world petroleum contracts denominated in US dollars. This allows you to print uncontrollably America green pieces of paper and throw them into the world, creating inflation and export rich, in fact, at the expense of the rest of humanity, including us swami. And anyone who tries, not even fight, but at least get out of this system, America punishes quickly and mercilessly.

Let me remind you the story.
After September 11, Iraq, going to abandon dollar in oil contracts, was declared a threat to the free world. Probirochka with baby powder, demonstrated by Colin Powell at the UN meeting, served as a pretext to invade a sovereign Middle Eastern country, the execution of its president, Saddam Hussein, the installation of absolute democracy” and the selection of the main prize – the Iraqi oil fields.

Weapons of mass destruction in Iraq has not been found. But it is not played absolutely no role. As the saying goes: “The war is over Thank you all.”

In 2011, Colonel Muammar Gaddafi, who liked to put their tents in front of the UN headquarters in New York, also announced its intention to sell Libyan oil exclusively for the euro and gold. Immediately becoming shake hands with a dictator and oppressor of democracy, Gaddafi was the Libyan revolution, civil war and NATO intervention was brutally murdered.

Following undemocratic, from the US perspective, the state oil became Syria. Although Assad and is not intended to collapse the petrodollar, there was another reason. And away on thumb scheme – a charge of genocide Bashar al-Assad of the Syrian people, the armed opposition, the attempt of the revolution, the preparation of the intervention of NATO forces But (!)
At this time found the man who would not let the black holder of the Nobel Peace Prize in dust roll another Middle Eastern country in the name of democracy. In 2013, a Russian naval force in the Mediterranean Sea for the first time exceeded in size and combat power similar rates of NATO forces in the region. Since mid-January 2014 the Syrian port of Tartus, where the Russian naval base, were delivered radar equipment for surveillance and electronic warfare as well as private goods. An-124 transferred armored vehicles, spare parts for helicopters, guided air bombs and drones (Reuters). According to anonymous sources in Syria were delivered S-300. The use of the waters of the Mediterranean Sea to organize the invasion of Syria was impossible as it was in the case of Libya, or, at least, conjugate with huge losses because the entire Syrian coastline received a powerful cover.
At the same time, Putin has made a peace initiative on the Syrian issue. And Negro peacekeeper was forced to agree with her. The intervention did not take place.

However, already 27 March 2014 with the participation of US military advisers from Turkey was an attempt to capture part of the coastline of Syrian territory. Detachments of radical extremist Islamist group AlNusra Dzhabgat” with the support of the Turkish artillery and engage Turkish armored vehicles, made the invasion of the border town of Kasab. The operation was access to the coast and take control of the province of Al Ladhiqiyah springboard for the organization that provides the beginning of the offensive along the coastline and take it under control.

This adventure was also failed. During the week, the Syrian army troops completely cleared the militants from the specified area. At an emergency meeting convened by the UN Security Council the United States refrained from official condemnation of terrorists.

At this point, has already happened Crimea and the geopolitical situation in the world has deteriorated. There was a question of anti-Russian sanctions and the US have taken here knight’s move” – lifted sanctions against Iran perennial. It was the first attempt to collapse in oil prices for the purpose of economic pressure on Russia. Although still a couple of months before Obama has threatened to “bring down a pile of bricks on the offender Iranian sanctions.” For many years, Iran has suffered sanctions because of its nuclear program and he had nothing to answer them. Now Negro seemed that he makes himself a loyal Hassan Rouhani and will increase the influence through the south-western Asia. But here he is, as it turned out, already late

Again, it was ahead of the very nosy man” to establish close contact with Iran during its international isolation. He has made the conclusion with the countries of the Caspian region agreement on the neutral status of the Caspian Sea, which made it impossible for the proposed accommodation transshipment NATO base in the Kazakh port of Aktau, and hence the potential threat of Iran on the Caspian Sea. An agreement on military-technical cooperation between Moscow and Tehran. And also signed a contract for the import of Iranian oil to Russia in the amount of 500 thousand. Barrels per day than Rouhani had strong support.

Why buy Russian oil? It would seem more stupid to come up with anything. Time has shown that the action man” turned out to be a very loyal and visionary.

Today, when Iran did not lie down under the America that counted on black again we were talking by the Western democracies about weapons of mass destruction, but in Iran (!) Against this background, we obtain two interesting events.

First – visit Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to Iran, after which we learn about the resumption of negotiations on the delivery of this country … what do you think? The complex C-300. And here it should be noted that immediately after Iran Shoigu went to India

Second. But the second will make the Negro has to worry seriously.
Yesterday, Iran’s foreign minister made a loud statement that: “All hopes for a deal on the nuclear program will disappear if the US Congress will vote for new sanctions against his country.”
And today, 24 January 2015. at 14:28 Moscow agency “Itar-Tass” reported that Iran cease the use of the US dollar for payments in transactions with foreign countries. In particular: In foreign trade in contracts will now be used other currencies, including the yuan, the euro, the Turkish lira, Russian ruble and the South Korean won,” – said the agency Tasneem Deputy Director of the Central Bank, Gholam Ali Kamyab. And the main thing here that oppose this decision has nothing to America – Iran sells its oil to Russia!

Let me remind you, Russia has already moved to calculations by hydrocarbon contracts in rubles with a number of countries. China – the largest of them. But Iran is today the only state oil exporter, officially completely eliminate the use of the US dollar for international settlements. And something tells me that the IraqiLibyan scenario here is not to be held, it is not held in Syria.

Yes, remember the three paragraphs above I mentioned Shoigu visit to India? I think India is on the waiting list

SOURCE

http://imperiya.by/news.html?id=155182

Paul Craig Roberts: Washington is preparing a nuclear attack on Russia and China !!!

Washington thinks that a nuclear war can be won, and plans to launch a first strike against Russia

Пол Крейг Робертс: Вашингтон готовит ядерный удар по России и Китаю

This is a former assistant for economic policy US Treasury warns primarily of their own citizens

Washington believes that a nuclear war can be won, and plans to launch a first strike against Russia, and possibly China, to avoid any challenge Washington’s global hegemony.

The plan is far advanced, and now turns its implementation. As I reported earlier, US strategic doctrine has changed, nuclear missiles, which previously was assigned the role of retaliation, now relegated to the role of the first offensive strike. Base anti-ballistic missiles the US has been deployed in Poland on the border with Russia, in the plans the construction of new bases. When it is completed, Russia will be surrounded by US missile bases.

Anti-ballistic missiles, known as “Star Wars” a weapon designed to intercept and destroy ballistic missiles. According to the military doctrine of Washington, US first strike on Russia, and, regardless of what means of retaliation remain in Russia, they are not able to reach the United States, thanks to the shield of anti-ballistic missiles.

As a reason, which Washington says changing its military doctrine, called the possibility that terrorists will acquire nuclear weapons, with which they can destroy an American city. This explanation is ridiculous. Terrorists – a single or a group of people rather than a country with armed forces that threaten. Use of nuclear weapons against terrorists will lead to the destruction of much more than the actual terrorists, in and of itself is meaningless, since cope with this task and drone with a missile.

For reasons that are explained Washington create a database of anti-ballistic missiles in Poland, was named to protect Europe from Iranian intercontinental ballistic missiles. Washington and any European government knows that Iran has no intercontinental ballistic missiles that Iran and showed no signs of intentions to attack Europe.

Any government is aware that there are reasons for Washington‘s feeble attempts to hide the fact that the creation of opportunities to win a nuclear war on the ground.

The Russian government understands that a change in US military doctrine and the base of anti-ballistic missiles on the borders of the United States directed against Russia and are a sign that Washington is planning to launch a nuclear first strike against Russia.

China also realized that Washington has similar intentions against him. As I wrote a few months ago, in response to a threat to Washington’s China drew the world’s attention to their ability to destroy the United States if Washington will initiate a conflict.

But Washington believes that he can win a nuclear war with little damage and without prejudice to the United States. This belief makes nuclear war possible.

This belief is based on ignorance. In a nuclear war there will be winners. Even if the city will be able to avoid US retaliation because of anti-ballistic missiles, radiation and nuclear winter of the use of weapons against Russia and China and also destroy the United States.

Media that during the corrupt regime Clinton fell into the hands of several people are also complicit in this, as long as do not pay attention to the problem. Governments vassals of Washington in Western and Eastern Europe, Canada, Australia and Japan – also partners, as they have been Washington’s plan and allow you to build a base for its actuation. Distraught Polish government may have signed the death sentence of humanity. US Congress – the same partner as makes no hearings on executive plans to unleash a nuclear war.

Washington has created a dangerous situation. Since it is obvious that the first blow threatens Russia and China, they can decide themselves to strike first. Why Russia and China have to sit and wait for the inevitable, while their opponent creates an opportunity to defend themselves with a shield of anti-ballistic missiles? When Washington will complete construction of the shield, Russia and China will obviously be attacked if not surrender immediately.

Of the 10minute talk channel «Russia Today» it follows that the secret plan of Washington first strike on Russia not a secret. The report also makes it clear that Washington is ready to eliminate all the European leaders who disagree with him.

Readers ask me: “What can we do?And you can do this. You can plug the mouth of the Propaganda Ministry, turning off the TV, “Fox News“, “CNN en“, “Bi-bi-si“, “Hey BBC“, “CNN-BBC“, “sys- CBS, “stop reading” New York Times “,” Voshington Post “,” Los Angeles Times “. Yes, just walking away from the official media. Do not believe a word of the government. Do not vote. Realize that evil is concentrated in Washington. In the XXI-st century Washington completely or partially destroyed several countries. Millions of people are killed, maimed, driven from their homes, and even Washington has never repented. Did not repent and other “Christian” country. Devastation that struck Washington, portrayed as a huge success. Washington triumphs.

Washington aims to triumph, and the evil that is Washington, leads to the destruction of the world.

US Expert: US preparing its nuclear forces to a surprise attack on Russia !

СЯС самое время. Американский эксперт: США готовят свои ядерные силы к внезапному удару по России

US nuclear forces are preparing for a conflict with Russia. Characterizes Washington’s plans, American expert on international security issues, MIT professor Theodore Postol in the weekly Nation.

According to the professor, a plan of the trillion-dollar calculated for several decades, aims to prepare the US nuclear weapons to a direct military confrontation with Russia. According to Postol, theorists in Washington are convinced that the United States will be able to win in such a conflict. To do this in the coming years to improve the accuracy States plans warhead intercontinental ballistic missiles and increase the power of their charges.

Anyone who has studied history knows that a serious political crisis can not be avoided, they periodically arise due to unforeseen and unexpected events – warns Postol.

Expert opinion has not gone unnoticed in the power circles in the US. For example, US Undersecretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Rose Gottemoeller December 17, during his speech at a seminar at the Brookings Institution in Washington was “deeply disagreedwith abstracts Postol. According to her, Russia and the United States in the past has moved along this road existed in the cycle of action-reaction”, meaning the arms race.

The last thing we need is to repeat the mistakes of the Cold War, to pour resources and unimaginable human capital in such programs, – said Gottemoeller, noting that the practice of non-use of nuclear weapons should be extended forever. While at the same time, Washington believes modernization of strategic offensive arms, undertaken and Russia, and the United States, reasonable.

It should be noted that on 3 October 2014 the State Department released data that has been provided to Washington Moscow in the Russian-US Treaty on Strategic Offensive Arms (START-3). According to them, Russia for the first time since the beginning of the XXI century overtook the United States as the number of carriers of nuclear weapons as part of the strategic nuclear forces (SNF) and the number of warheads on deployed delivery vehicles.

Theodore Postol always had a catchy statements. For example, he is one of the main critics of US missile defense system – the director of the Center for Strategic conditions Ivan Konovalov. – Now in a difficult geopolitical situation vivid statements on the subject of strategic nuclear forces become part of the information. In 1962, during the Cuban missile crisis, the two countries were on the verge of a possible pressing the “nuclear button“. Now there is a kind of game. In this sense, lobbyists in the United States use a window of opportunity to strengthen its strategic nuclear forces.

The fact that the US administration last decade made a bet in favor of conventional forces, as the number of armed conflicts in which the States involved, required the development of conventional weapons. Naturally, this shifted direction and financing. Unlike Russia, which even under difficult conditions collapse of the Union, default, reform of the army still found the strength and resources to maintain its strategic nuclear forces in the normal state. Because only they were a shield and a guarantor of the country’s integrity. Now our country has reached a fairly good level of combat readiness.

I should also note that the United States a lot of time has been paid to the implementation of the concept of “prompt global strike” – defeat the enemy for several hours non-nuclear forces cruise missiles and ICBMs with conventional warheads. Application of the latter is believed to enable guaranteed to destroy the objects of affection without radioactive contamination. This factor also had an impact on slowing the development of strategic nuclear forces the United States.

With regard to the comparison of US and Russian strategic nuclear forces, when it comes to such powers, unprincipled one 100 or 150 more warheads, considering how much damage will be to hit the target at least a small part of these ballistic missiles. It is clear that nuclear parity must be maintained. But until recently, the Russian Federation and the United States have expressed the desire to reduce their strategic nuclear forces to the maximum that you will agree, is correct.

Everyone knows what a disaster way to end a nuclear conflict. Therefore, it is hardly possible, says a leading researcher of the sector in regional security RISS Candidate of Military Sciences Vladimir Karjakin. Another thing is that lack of knowledge about what means and methods of warfare has the enemy, what are his real possibilities, introduces a potential aggressor in a state of uncertainty, since it can not be completely sure of the success of their actions, and therefore can not start attack. This is a deterrent.

“SP”: It is believed that after Ronald Reagan in 1983, announced the “Strategic Defense Initiativein the USSR, all land and sea missiles were created with the maximum number of elements to overcome missile defense, so our carriers can easily overcome the US missile defense. That is the vaunted US missile defense – is a myth.

US missile defense system is, as they say, at the stage of laboratory tests. Well, the Americans shot down a satellite at an altitude of 200 kilometers. But who today would be just one missile attack? Test their systems were, so to speak, in a lightweight environment without jamming was known beforehand trajectory purposes, their parameters. So, the US missile defense system is not such a formidable force, as is sometimes write.

Another thing that matters Geography placement of missile defense: the further sensors, the wider the operative field. In addition, we are concerned that the US missile can be used not only for defense, but also for a preemptive strike against ground targets First of all – the positions of our Strategic Missile Forces.

Director of the Center for Public Policy Research Vladimir Yevseyev says: in Russia believe that the US strategic nuclear forces this is not the main problem.

– We believe that the threat is increasing the capacity of US precision weapons in nonnuclear (which is why there is talk about how to bring an updated military doctrine of the Russian position on the non-nuclear deterrence, which did not exist). We are talking about a sea-based cruise missiles type BGM-109 Tomahawk. It is assumed that if these missiles will be a lot, then it will inflict a disarming strike on US strategic nuclear forces of the Russian Federation. But, in my opinion, these estimates are somewhat exaggerated.

The fact is that until 2025-2030, the United States does not have the capacity disarming strike with precision weapons in nonnuclear. That is, in such capacity until the US simply does not have because to implement their concept of “prompt global strike” alone sea-based cruise missiles is not enough. Need to withdraw strike systems in space, develop hypersonic vehicles.

Now we do not know whether the United States will go to the deployment of ground-based cruise missiles in Europe, will withdraw from the Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF). Of course, this the worst case scenario. Realized he? I think not. How Come? Because all this will require huge costs and the militarization of space, which is dangerous, as both Russia will not sit idly by.

With regard to the strategic nuclear forces, the nuclear triad of Russia and the US are fundamentally different things. In the US, its main element – a marine component. Namely – the ballistic missile submarines (SLBM). Americans have the advantage in the number of ballistic missiles, besides potentially every SSBNs “Ohio” can carry 24 SLBM.

Marine component complements the air component of the United States, which significantly exceeds the potential of the Russian long-range aviation.

As for Russia is responsible? Historically, we have the basic element of the strategic nuclear forces ground component. But in view of the fact that it is difficult to work within the retaliatory strike and, even more so – a deep response, Russia deploys mobile missile systems, which the United States is not at all. It’s not just about moving underground complexes such as RS-24 yars”, but also the completion of development and even construction BDZHRK (railway rolling combat missile system), a new type. Also on the basis of Yarsa.”

Such a response to the impressive marine components SNF US is quite adequate and sufficient. But to within the triad was resistance, the Russian Federation to replace the submarine project 667BDRM creates a new group SSBN type “Northwind” of eight boats, which will be placed on the type of “4 + 4″ – the Northern Fleet and the Pacific Fleet. This, in principle, sufficient. And there are no opportunities to create borders defense to keep fighting back these weapons, the US does not.

For example, States are Alaska strategic interceptors GBI. However, firstly, there are few. And secondly, they intercept in space at altitudes of about 1.5 thousand kilometers, where it is difficult to identify the target, because it does not fly alone. That is to intercept a warhead need to hit all the “cloud” that would require starting the whole building, located in Alaska. Again, the possibility of the US to intercept without the deployment of space-tier limited.

Thus, the actual SNF until upgrades only Russian. They are also building up China. But the United States on any item not lead modernization. They no longer maintain the health of the funds, which have long been. And work on tactical nuclear weapons. But Russia and this is your answer.

 

Sozinov: US cruise missiles – one of the main military threats to Russia

General Designer of Concern PVO Almaz-Antey” Paul Sozinov said that the massive use of cruise missiles in the first phase of hostilities could cause enormous damage to objects of strategic nuclear forces of Russia.
Гиперзвуковая крылатая ракета X-51A , архивное фото

In the arsenal of aerospace attack the United States is the main threat to the massive use of cruise missiles, said Chief Designer of Concern PVO Almaz-Antey” Paul Sozinov.

The dominant modern threats is the massive use of the first phase of cruise missile strikes,” – he said on Monday at a conference dedicated to the centenary of the Russian air defense.

According to him, the massive use of cruise missiles in the first phase of hostilities could cause enormous damage to objects Russian strategic nuclear forces.”

Such conclusions specialists make on the basis of the analysis of the armed conflicts of recent times, particularly in Iraq and Libya, said Sozinov.


United States, he said, implementing a number of programs aimed at increasing the number of cruise missiles used in the first impact, increasing their range and accuracy.

“That rearmament program, first of all sea-based means that the United States spend, allowing them to go in the period 2015-2016 years, the total amount of the possible delivery to the important objects of the Russian Federation about 6.5-7 thousand cruise missАмериканский противоракетный комплекс системы THAAD. Архивное фотоiles, with about 5000 with sea carriers, “- said general designer.

In the United States implemented a program to refurbish nuclear submarines, originally intended for delivery of intercontinental ballistic missiles, cruise missiles in the media. In particular, the three-class submarine Ohio has retrofitted a cruise missile.

“Each boat can carry up to afford 154 cruise missiles ready for combat use. This is a very large potential application in the first phase of hostilities massive strike, and it should be taken into account when building the air defense system at the level of anti-aircraft missile forces,” – said Chief Designer

Alexander Zapolskis. Paper tiger NATO.

Коллаж ИА REGNUMChinese have such an apt expression a paper tiger. This is when visibility is considerably detached from the real situation. Ukrainian UNIAN news agency published a comparative analysis of the military capabilities of NATO and Russia conducted a Polish television channel TVN24. From his calculations, it follows that NATO in its capabilities conceals Russia as an elephant pug. Get at least a military budget of $ 950 billion. A year, the alliance and less than 90 billion dollars. In Russia. Or the total number of armed forces: 3.5 million NATO and 766 thousand. In the Russian Federation. In short, the paper comes out that the alliance is superior to the Russian Federation on all the articles. But is it really? In the end, on paper Ukraine in February 2014 to the number of soldiers and equipment is the sixth army of the world. However, for some reason she was defeated Donetsk militia troops commanded by former musicians, amateur theaters, and one kamnetёsy historic reconstructor.

If you keep all of the major indicators of the armies of countries members of the Alliance, in one electronic tablet, the picture is somewhat different offers. At first glance, all formally correct. The block consists of 28 countries with a total population of 888 million people. They all have a 3.9 million soldiers, more than 6 thousand. Warplanes, about 3.6 thousand. Helicopters, 17.8 thous. Tanks, 62,6 thous. Of various armored vehicles, nearly 15 thousand. Pieces, 16 thousand. mortars, 2.6 thousand. multiple rocket launchers and 302 warships main classes (including submarines). But the point is that all of the above is by no means NATO, because the said calculation gives much cheating.

Take, for example, France. Its armed forces are often included in the overall balance. While leaving behind the scenes of the fact that this country has long been out of the military structure of the block, or even in the ideal case would support it only a couple of leased” hull-scale foundations. Ie of the overall figures immediately disappear 64 million population, 654 thousand. officers and men, 637 tanks, 6,4 thousand. armored vehicles and so on. It would seem a trifle. Just think, even without the 600 French guns, NATO is still 14 th. Barrels. So, if you do not take into account that the vast majority of the listed weapons is mainly in warehouses and storage depots. In Ukraine, too, there were more than 2.5 thousand. Any tanks. But when it comes to war, it became clear that the real battle-ready are about 600, and more in real terms relative to remaining in the system can be put in the ideal “plus the same amount.” Others – trash. I will not argue. I hope that in Germany (858 MBT and 2002. BBM) or Spain (456 MBT 1102 and AFV) for storage of property should be better Ukrainians. But actually it does not change.

Tabulated figures do show a striking result. On paper, NATO has 55.6 thousand. (62 thousand. Minus 6.4 thousand. French) all kinds of armored fighting vehicles. Of these, 25.3 thousand. In the US, of which 20 thousand. Warehouses are long-term storage! However, the Americans would be okay. It turns out that the largest number of “reserves” BBM 11.5 thousand. Pc. Focused on warehouses in countries with armies numbering less than 100 thousand. Man. For example, a member of NATO – Bulgaria – contains all the armed forces of 34,970 people, and the legacy of the Warsaw Pact she got 362 tanks and 1,596 armored fighting vehicles. So the warehouses where they are almost all.

A similar pattern in the Czech Republic. Army 17,930 people, and on paper “has” MBT 175 and 1013 BBM. In general, even if you do not go into the complexity of logistics, supply of spare parts and obviously impossible, for example, to deploy a tank battalion based on the Soviet T-72 from some British reservists, still turns out that almost all the figures on armored vehicles and artillery can be safely divided by four. From 17.8 thousand. Tanks are” 4.45 thousand., Of which only half is the troops” and accurately on the move. The second half is still in warehouses under a thick layer of grease on the removal of which requires considerable time. For reference: Ukraine to deploy the army took 4 months. And that almost ideal conditions, when no one bothered her.

However, Ukraine has demonstrated another key point. The army is more than a mere collection of people, machines, tanks and armored vehicles. Army, primarily a structure. So, in a structural sense to NATO are not all national armed forces of member countries, but only about a third of them. And this third is also divided into three very different categories. Approximately 15% of units (ie, 15% of the 30% of the national armies that attributed to the alliance“) are the so-called “priority Forces engagement» (RNF). They are found in the states in 75-85% of war and are ready to begin the combat mission within 7 days of receipt of order. Another 25% are in the category of “operational readiness” (60% of the state) and can be used every 3-4 months. The remaining 60% is often required not less than 365 days to bring themselves in combat readiness. All other military units participating countries are contained in the states under their national military programs. Given the continuing reduction of military budgets, many of them, according to Soviet terminology, Crop”.

First and foremost this applies to the Eastern European States. If from 3.6 million of the army to take away 1.5 million Americans, as well as 350 thousand. French is still 1.75 million bayonets. Of which Germany, the UK and Italy account for only 654.3 thousand. People. Greek and Spanish army (156.6 and 128.2 thousand. Pers. Respectively) with confidence can not be considered.” As well as in serious doubt is the Turkish army (510 thousand. People). In light of recent gas and military agreements Istanbul unlikely to wish to be the Euro-Atlantic unity. And so it turns out that, in addition to 100 thousand. “Polish bayonets,” the other half of the 19 soldiers put the size of its army of 73 thousand. (Romania) to 4,700 persons (Estonia). Oh, yeah, it is important not to forget the sun in Luxembourg as part of 900 people!

It so happens that the “old” NATO in the face of the first 12 states too overdo samopiar. Once the history of glossy booklets actually reflect reality. In 1990, after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the Bundeswehr had only one 7 th. Tanks, 8,9 thousand. Armored vehicles, 4.6 thousand. Guns. Plus in Germany based 9.5 thousand. American tanks and 5.7 thousand. Their own infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, 2.6 thousand. 300 artillery systems and combat aircraft. Now they are on German soil no. Almost all left Germany. In 2016 home leave, the last British soldiers. Of all the American forces were two brigadier bases without people and technology, and less than 100 aircraft. A Bundeswehr own sizes decreased to 185.5 thousand. People. This is 2.5 times less than the Turkish army on the people, 5.2 times less MBT, 2.2 times less in BBM. As they say in Odessa you’ll laugh but in warehouses in Poland tanks and armored vehicles worth more than in Germany! The Poles and 946 MBT 2610 BBM against 858 in 2002 and the Germans.

The irony is that all Eastern European and Baltic states into NATO sought, above all, to be a defensive umbrella USA, Germany, UK and Italy. In the first place, to be able to carry themselves not burdensome military expenditure. For defense – it is always very expensive. By the beginning of zero was a paradoxical situation. Only alliance includes more than two dozen countries, but defenses block continues to hold on dreams of military might of Germany and the United Kingdom on land to the sea. For example, the growth of aggressive rhetoric and behavior of some leaders of the Baltic states to this day based on the belief that “if thatprotect, say, Vilnius, primchatsya eight hundred German Leopard”.

Behind the scenes are dramatic changes that have taken place in NATO over the past 15 years. Brussels almost openly admits that existing alliance forces and resources will only last for two categories of problems. Limited participation in humanitarian operations (ie no war at all) and operations to ensure the embargo. And then, in the second case only to a small and weak country, rather than Russia. Even tasks such as the evacuation of the civilian population, support for counter-terrorism operations and a show of force, are no longer possible. As due to the limited powers of its own, and in the light of unacceptably high level of losses. A problem of the class “operation to resolve the crisis” and “providing immediate intervention” in general is beyond the capacity of the block. From the word at all.

Yes, in the past decade, NATO has participated in a variety of military operations. Iraq. Afghanistan. The Middle East. But in reality all fought primarily USA. NATO forces only “present.” And this is done cleverly. Germany and the UK, of course, sent to Afghanistan, some small units, but first and foremost they are the war, they say, gave to outsource! Ie paid money Lithuanians, Latvians, Estonians, Czechs, Poles and other “partners” so that they could send a “war onsome own contingents. There’s a company, then a platoon, battalion here, here and typing Mala Mala soldiers for combat tasks together Germans and Britons.

This nuance lies the answer to the question, every day more and more disturbing Ukrainians. Why the US and NATO are so many vkusnyashek promised last winter, and Nenka still fighting alone? It’s simple. Because on paper, NATO has, but in reality it is almost none. At all. Is it possible to revive the former power? Of course, you can. But only at the cost of reducing the European standard of living as 20-25 percent.
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Again, the army it’s very expensive. The army does not produce anything, but eats a lot. As in the literal sense, in the form of budget funds for its maintenance, and indirectly, in the form of separation from the people working in the civil sector, thus turning them from the tax payers in nalogoproedateley. European countries are not interested in this option once. Mladonatovtsy so generally sought the alliance is to for his army not pay to have their protected stranger. German there or some Portuguese. A Portuguese totally not interested to give up their bread and butter to go to protect some Baltic states, which is not even any European map immediately able to correctly show.

It is time for this nuance of contemporary realities finally understand. And in the Baltic States and Ukraine. Tiger NATO, while he was still big and beautiful, but it has long paper. And this Tiger concerned primarily with their own internal problems. The rest are the only basis for a beautiful rhetoric on camera.

Kremlin attacks from the air !

Кремль атакует с воздуха. НАТО опасается наших истребителей, забывая про создаваемые в России аналоги американских систем ПРО

NATO fears of our fighters, forgetting created in the Russian equivalent of the American missile defense systems

The European Union and NATO launched an investigation about the threat that can cause the Russian military civilian aircraft. This was December 9 media reported, citing the director of the European Agency for Air Safety (EASA) Patrick Ki.

This is a very serious matter. We will consult with the competent civil and military structures to gather the necessary information, – said Key, adding that the results of the investigation will be announced in the spring of 2015.

Recall November 20 NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said the interception of 400 Russian fighters in the 2014th, which, according to him, 50% more than last year.

Previously – November 13 US State Department spokesman Jen Psak said the United States did not feel justified in increasing the intensity of long-range aviation aircraft flights near the Russian Air Force, United States. Then, in an interview with “SP” head of the directorate of military aircraft programs, the United Aircraft Corporation, the former commander in chief of the Russian Air Force, Army General Vladimir Mikhailov rightly said that the Americans and their allies should be glad that they have the opportunity to practice intercepting Russian military aviation it is extremely important for quality training of flight crews all sides.

NATO, led by the United States announced the Russian Cold War (or as it is now called “hybrid”), so all controlled structures formal and informal fit into this project keeping in the Western community barbaric and aggressive image of Russia, says former chief international Military Cooperation of the Russian Federation Ministry of Defense, Colonel-General Leonid Ivashov.

NATO and US commanders say every day of the alleged active preparations Russia for military action against the “poor and unfortunate European countries.” Military can not unfounded, for example, Jen Psak, accuse us of anything, so they seek some occasions, transform them and serves as the “Russian threat.” As we remember, were first mythical “Russian colony”, aimed at Kiev, then – a submarine in the territorial waters of Sweden, today at the forefront aviation, tomorrow, perhaps, the EU and NATO will come up with something else.

Combat aircraft of all countries are obliged to fly, and – in neutral airspace near the borders of neighboring countries, especially those where potentially pose a threat. It is a recognized and indisputable fact. But if NATO planes flying near the Russian border from the Baltic and Poland and it is like a self-evident phenomenon, flying around Russian strategic bombers or fighters raised wild hysteria. Our planes, in the language of sailors, showed flag near the western borders always once more, once less, but as soon as the situation is exacerbated in the world, the buzz around fly combat aircraft of the Russian Federation raised with renewed vigor. It is necessary to react calmly, but left unanswered, however, it is not a question of military work, and propaganda.

Military expert Viktor Myasnikov draws attention to the fact that cases of dangerous proximity of military aviation civil aircraft have taken place, but these incidents always occurred with NATO fighters over the Mediterranean Sea and beyond.

Although the military and passenger aircraft set aside various echelons and height, in addition, civilian airliners flying from the known and certain air corridors where military aircraft should not get involved. But such cases are regularly occurred with NATO planes, but with regard to convergence of Russian combat aircraft with civilian airliners, that such was not the case at all ever. I think the fact that the results of the investigation will be announced NATO allegedly spring 2015, says that this investigation” there is no emergency, requiring immediate response. Most likely, NATO and the EU needs time to at least something to dig and pull any fact behind the ears, which, frankly, would be extremely difficult to do. But, somehow, it all fits into the overall concept of NATO and the US pressure on the Russian Federation, which create an image of Russia aggressive state. Such a “smokescreen” Alliance is trying to cover up their own military preparations.

In this sense, interesting application designer general “Concern PVO” AlmazAntey “Paul Sozinova, 8 December reported that the Russian missile defense systems are analogues of the United States – THAAD ((Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system) – the missile defense system, working on missiles and less medium-range for a few minutes before hitting the target) and GMD (Ground-based Midcourse Defense) – major US system to intercept ICBMs (intercontinental ballistic missiles). According to him, the prototypes of these complexes will soon be tested and in the near future” will go to the troops. What are we talking about? It can be assumed that the potential analogue THAAD – is C-500 air defense missile systems, the more recently the media, citing a source in the Russian defense industry said that in the future the complex will be combined with the missile defense system A-135 “Amur”, which stands for the defense of Moscow . The latest in the near future will be replaced by a mysterious missile defense system A-235 aircraft-M” (which, for a moment, have a strategic missile defense system). However, no specifics on the novelty” no, there is only a ghostly hints.

Viktor Myasnikov said that the words Sozinova the “Russian system GMD» should be interpreted as follows: the existing achievements and even products will be further developed to a level equivalent.

– Working “from scratch” require huge financial and human resources, and we are still going work on the C-500 and related missiles over C-350 “Vityaz”. So, most of all, we are talking about interceptors based mobile complexes Topol-M” and “yars”.

According to Leonid Ivashov, Russia looked implementation of the concept of rapid global strike the United States, changes in US nuclear doctrine, and now the country’s leadership understands that rely only on the nuclear potential dangerous.

– Now we need to concentrate efforts on the analysis of the possible dangers to the simulations, for the preparation of the “Atlas of threats” and “Atlas of answers.” Somewhere we can fend off the threat of diplomatic means, for example, the debate in the Security Council of the UN, OSCE, etc., somewhere – our “gas pipe”, well, somewhere – the improvement of military-technical means. And then, I note, our designers do not have to engage in useless work and mindlessly chasing the Americans on missile defense is still not catch up. It is necessary to seek a cheap but effective means and opportunity to do so we have.

What could be the scenario of war between NATO and Russia !

Каким может быть сценарий войны НАТО и России

The armed conflict between our country and NATO is possible in the near future, if the parties do not immediately begin to look for a compromise.

This was in an article in the Financial Times writes Professor of Conflict Resolution at George Mason University (USA) Dennis Sandole.

According to Sandole, permanent NATO’s eastward expansion and plans to include in the block Georgia and Ukraine, Russia put in an impossible position.

After the end of the Cold War, it seemed that a world war is no longer possible. But if in Moscow constantly talked about our love of peace, the foreign policy of the West has not changed significantly. NATO military bloc was not dissolved, while continuing to be involved in many armed conflicts in the world. As equal opposing forces in the world he did not exist, the Alliance was able to actually usurp the functions of the global arbiter.

Now that Russia is not as it was in the 1990s, and is actively pursuing its geopolitical interests, the West is doing everything to build a confrontation with our country. Often, even to their own detriment. So the script Sandole American professor does not look so fantastic.

But is our country for a major confrontation with the West, if it will not at the level of sanctions?

According to a leading expert of the Center for MilitaryPolitical Studies, Moscow State Institute Mikhail Alexandrov, the probability of a major war really big, but we will defend ourselves can:

Professor Sandole absolutely right: NATO policy has led to a sharp deterioration in relations of the Alliance and Russia. Block headed for the environment of our country, now poses an imminent threat to our security. The trend became clear at the time of “color” revolutions in Georgia, now the West is trying to take full control of Ukraine.

In fact, we are already seeing an escalation of the conflict. In Ukraine, the army comes, militias are trying to fight back. In the future, possible arrival of volunteers from Russia, launched an attack on Kiev and the capture of the capital. West will increase its assistance to Ukraine, Russia will have to intervene has its armed forces, to go to the borders of Ukraine and Transnistria.

There is already a NATO will depend on the Alliance to intervene or not. If he intervenes, there will be a large-scale war. The only thing he does not have the strength and resources for the war with Russia. The army, of course, numerous NATO, but it is scattered, not able to maintain consolidated hostilities in Europe is not enough heavy equipment, ammunition, poorly developed logistics.

Therefore, theoretically, Russia could easily get out to the Balkans, defeating Bulgaria and Romania. Together with Serbia would be to create an alliance and defeat Kosovo, Montenegro. In fact, we would take NATO in a semicircle. So we have a good opportunity.

Of course, NATO can build weapons, raise an army. But we will not sit idly by. We will carry out a partial mobilization, transfer troops from the Urals, where we have large stocks of weapons.

By the way, this is not NATO, they destroyed all the reserves. We in the Urals 10,000 tanks, it takes several months to bring them into fighting condition. We have a mobilization reserve, and it is not NATO. They will be able to create a million-strong army, and we quickly can deploy an army of two to three million.

Likely to be used tactical nuclear weapons. In aviation, the Alliance has an advantage because in front of us will be challenged to quickly destroy their airfields. To do this, it will be necessary to use tactical nuclear weapons, in particular, cruise missiles. We do not have a sufficient number of medium-range missiles, but there are missiles and sea-based aircraft capable of reaching anywhere in Europe.

This will start a war of attrition in the spirit of the First World War. Electronic systems will be put out of action, and without it will not be possible to use NATO precision weapons, but it is not so much the Alliance. NATO will have to fight conventional arms, and they know how to fight in the West is bad.

So it is not the fact that the victory will be on the side of the West. I think that NATO generals understand this and lately try not to flaunt their power.

Is NATO takes Russia into the environment without having sufficient power?

Who preference paramilitary method combining political violence with the actions of subversive groups. Essentially, most NATO war is not necessary. It may require us, if we will see that not cope with the situation. We just have to respond asymmetrically.

But NATO strategy political and paramilitary techniques to master the post-Soviet space, as is happening now in Ukraine. Then begin to destabilize the situation in the North Caucasus, the Volga region, blocking our trade routes and energy supplies.

That is, NATO expects to grueling conflict, which will lead to a gradual weakening of Russia, falling away from her territories and, finally, the disappearance of the country.

But we plan broke in Ukraine, going to the action. Unfortunately, we did not come to the borders of the former Soviet Union. Then NATO would not think about the development of the post-Soviet space, and about his own defense, creating bastions in Eastern Europe in the case of our invasion.

West is waging against us undeclared war, and our management wants to appear pious, talks about some partnership.

– It turns out that the success of the plans of the West in our indecision.

That’s right. In 2008, it was necessary to defeat Georgia demonstratively judge Saakashvili, a pro-Russian authorities to establish there. Then West would not venture to meddle in Ukraine. But everyone saw our hesitation, we were limited to Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Therefore, staged a coup in Ukraine, and again we are playing in debt.”

Some make payment to the division of Europe and the United States. But it is trying to do more, Stalin, Khrushchev, Gorbachev tried to maneuver with Germany. It is not necessary to us now for the tenth time to step on the same rake. But this tactic is pumped resources, rather than to act decisively.

Although we could now create problems Americans in the Middle East, around Saudi Arabia. And oil prices have soared again.

While Yanukovych was the legitimate president, the Ukrainian army would not defend the regime in Kiev. We could establish a pro-Russian government in Ukraine, but missed the point.

In the West, saying that Russia’s economy is only 2.5% of world GDP and, if desired, our country can crush economic measures very quickly.

It sounds ridiculous! Russia controls most of the world’s resources, has a vast territory, we have the highest nuclear capability. If you wish, we can destroy both Europe and the United States. Here Stalin had no such opportunities, and we are there.

As for the economy, the share of the West in the world economy is constantly decreasing, is now about one-third. That is, you can do without the West in general. At the time, the Soviet Union had only full trade relations with Afghanistan and Iran, and was able to survive. Now we have a partner in China, India and many other countries. The West was the last lever of influence on the rest of the state – control over finances. But talk about the calculations in national currencies within the BRICS.

– When a military confrontation important mindset people, their willingness to sacrifice something.

When Putin made the return of the Crimea, he had incredible support. This level of trust has been, perhaps, only to Alexander the Great, when he took to Paris, or Stalin, when he was taken to Berlin.

But then the speaker has been lost, and success in the international arena is not visible, the ruble is falling, the economy weakens. And this causes irritation. If we took all of Ukraine, the people would know for what to suffer. By the way, in the areas Novorossia huge industrial potential, excellent arable land.

Another problem – representatives of the “fifth column”. Here in Moscow introduce paid parking, unite schools and hospitals. This policy causes irritation citizens.

– Is the Western society at war with Russia?

The small states of Eastern Europe will not fight. Will fight the Germans and Anglo-Saxons, maybe they will be joined by the French. There are haters of Russia as Poland and the Baltic countries. Unfortunately, supporters of friendship with Russia in the West do not control. In Nazi Germany, too, was resistance, but it did not make the weather. All elite controlled Washington Regional Committee.”

The confrontation between Russia and NATO will be a catalyst for conflicts in other parts of the world?

– Of course. As soon as the war in Europe, China will take advantage of the situation and take Taiwan. North Korea is a blow to South Korea in order to unite the country. Iran is certainly a blow to Saudi Arabia. There will be a unique situation where all resources will be concentrated in Western Europe, and he will have no opportunity to influence the situation in other regions of the world. So will the full Kotovasiya.”

According to the vicepresident of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems, Konstantin Sokolov, the war between Russia and NATO is already underway, but it is taking place in an unusual form:

– In my opinion, the direction of the West to strike at Russia manifested obvious. We are talking only about the nature of war. The shape of the war written into the concept of US national security. We are talking about a “world civil war.”

We are now seeing a weakening of the ruble, the collapse of small and medium-sized businesses in Russia, the fall in oil prices. In fact, the fighting has already begun. Just no one will declare war on each other, there will be the front line.

For civil war characterized by a variety of groups that fight each other. There is no obvious external enemy, but will be at war with the power of the opposition. It’s just another technology war.

– War involves mutual blows. Will Russia be able to respond to the West?

I’m talking about the “world civil war“, and it will not withstand Russia and the West, and a variety of global social groups. For example, in Russia‘s oligarchs are patriots of our country? No, they are representatives of the force which attacked Russia, destroys its economy.

There are people, there are surrogates global financial groups. It is necessary to think in these categories. New tactics the establishment of power, which destroys the population of social transformations.

Russia can not defend themselves?

– Naturally, people must defend themselves. First of all, we need to defend the spiritual and moral level. We need to resist the influences that come to us from the West, to keep traditional values. Who in the world is Russia with its values of teamwork, but there were advancing on us the power of the “golden calf“.

But there will be armed conflicts.

Of course there will. But it will confront entities. Right now everyone is discussing how to deal with “Islamic state”. But at the same time unless some country declared war on the other? No, they do not fight each other. People are going to the proper religious or social ideas, not the state, and this is a sign of the Civil War.

We are making some effort to avoid being crushed in a global confrontation?

– Now save the military-industrial complex. But the system of national security is much more difficult. Need a systematic approach, which, alas, is no.

Is it possible to “hot” conflict on the territory of Russia?

Our opponents in September demonstrated their strength. When the majority of public opinion supported the Russian policy in the Crimea and Ukraine, Moscow came under people liberal slogans. It was a workout. Our enemies will be able to arrange in Moscow and “Maidan”, and other disorders.

But the problem is that the government itself creates discontent. Here I am forced to remove the car from the yard, paid parking is introduced, removed all the stalls in the capital in the shops become more expensive. In fact, I survive out of the house, brings me to the condition”. And even now, there is a mass layoff of small and medium-sized businesses. People have no choice but to go to rallies like.

Is there any chance that public opinion in the West would not support a war with us?

Any Bulgarian, regardless of skill level, it is clear that the management of Bulgaria’s “South Stream” is decided not in the national interest. Already it is clear that Europe’s elite is the representatives of the world of oligarchic structures, no democracy on the continent remained.

We must understand that our enemy is not the usual American or Englishman, and the owners of financial capital. This they decided to pit the nations together. World oligarchy should not feel safe. Here is a need to understand the people of Russia and the West.

Stop Frau Merkel !

Остановить фрау Меркель. Влиятельные немцы призвали канцлера Германии отказаться от антироссийского курса

Influential Germans called German Chancellor abandon anti-Russian policies.

Subject: Sanctions.

More than 60 influential European politicians and public figures signed a declaration entitled “A new war in Europe? Not in our name “, which was sent to the federal government of Germany, the members of the Bundestag and the largest media Germany. The authors call for treatment Berlin to take on an important mission and begin the process of detente in relations with Russia.

The declaration states that in 1990 the society had hoped that the confrontation of East and West came to an end, and soon established a “new European order of peace and security from Vancouver to Vladivostok“, “common European home”. But politicians quickly forgotten about the need to abandon war as a method of solving conflicts” and now in Europe, people are afraid again.

In the opinion of those who signed the appeal, and among them, the former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, former German Interior Minister Otto Schily, the head of the Eastern Committee of German Economy Eckhard Cordes, cosmonaut Sigmund Jahn, Dutch film director Wim Wenders and others, now the West is trying to “oust Russia of Europe “, which is contrary to history and dangerous for the world. After all, “since the days of the Congress of Vienna in 1814, Russia is one of the fundamental European countries“, and “all those who tried to force change this state of affairs, suffered a bloody failure“, including Hitler’s Germany.

The authors of the declaration indicate that NATO’s eastward expansion without deepening the dialogue with Moscow understandably causes concerns Russia. “The need for security is a Russian legal and as serious as that of the Germans, Poles, Balts and Ukrainians,” – the authors write, and as an example of “aggressive expansion of the Westresult in an invitation to Ukraine and Georgia into NATO in 2008. Politicians and public figures have come to the conclusion that the West needs to properly assess the gravity of the situation and resume a constructive dialogue with Russia. They also encourage the media to comply with the duty of convincing unbiased coverage of events as they often demonize whole nations without understanding their history.

In recent years, the rhetoric of Germany, which was considered the main “evroadvokatom” Russia is becoming increasingly fierce and peremptory. Hear whether Angela Merkel‘s call to review their policies?

In Germany, the first week is a discussion about how to deal with Russia as productive sanctions, in which Germany takes a leading role – says a leading researcher at the Department for European Policy Studies IMEMO, Germanic Alexander Kokeyev. There is an opinion of the government, and we must bear in mind that this is the opinion of the two largest parties of Germany: CDU / CSU coalition with the Social Democrats (though the latter in favor of a softer policy toward Russia).

But there is a certain amount of pressure on the government from different circles. This declaration is presented, for example, former Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, who was appointed to one of the leading positions in the company, which is close to “Gazprom”. His friendly relations with our President. Merkel does not support this so-called “friendship sauna.”

Was named Cordes, industry representatives. Big business in Germany, firms such as Siemens, Adidas, BMW, Daimler-Benz and many other sanctions are concerned, as they bring them substantial losses. The list is also present Shealy, representatives of “green” and just people who pay attention to the fact that the sanctions do not give the West in ideological terms. Russia, by contrast, is increasingly rallying around the president, in the country there are anti-Western sentiment, which only aggravated by the sanctions. Therefore, there are voices and there are letters.

“SP”: How big is the value of such appeals, is there a chance to be heard?

I think it’s important. Germany – a country with the most extensive connections with Russia, which she in general, does not want to break. Yes, government support sanctions. But it must be emphasized that both the government and Merkel, and especially Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier advocated that the dialogue with Russia will not tear, to continue to use all possible diplomatic means. They are opposed to squeeze Russia out of the negotiation process, but at the same time in favor of retaining the sanctions because, in their view, Russia has committed illegal acts.

But, again, there is an opposite point of view. Is there a US pressure? Of course there is. But I would not be so exaggerated. With all the pressure of Germany, along with France during the American invasion of Iraq refused to participate. Unfortunately, now is not the only pressure, but also that the interests and views of the Allies on the Euro-Atlantic bloc largely coincide. Of course, such treatment of the public, where there is a major political figures and representatives of big business to play a role in the fact that Germany tries to not only maintain but also expand the dialogue.

“SP”: – Can Germany and the West to compromise, for example, in the expansion of NATO to the East?

In principle, it is possible. After the Georgian-Ossetian war Berlin, for example, took the position that we should not rush and promise of Georgia‘s membership in NATO. And even today, leading to the policy of sanctions Germany clearly says that Russia needs to be explained: the West is not ready to accept Ukraine into NATO. Another thing that is meant to NATO, saying safeguards.

Very often recall a conversation Helmut Kohl and Mikhail Gorbachev, when Russia allegedly promised not to expand NATO to the East. I will say, as a political scientist: these promises do not exist. Kohl promised to make this request, Gorbachev said that NATO is its understanding. But NATO can not promise anyone anything. The Union is founded on the fact that if someone wants to be a member, the entry ban for relations with third countries, the Alliance can not. If the country will ask NATO membership will be a question on how she is ready for it. Georgia is not ready because it has an internal conflict. Ukraine certainly not ready, there are fights, it still considers its Crimea. On its accession to NATO in the foreseeable future, even out of the question.

“SP”: And in the future be?

In the process of NATO enlargement Russia’s interests must be taken into account. Initially, it was a requirement that the Alliance is not approaching our borders. But he approached and extended. Now the West clearly understands that Russia pressed and under pressure, and that Ukraine may take the unit. Therefore, in the West say they are not ready to join her. In this regard, it was Germany, not the US or weakened France, with all the complexities of the current relationship remains our main partner. Germany’s role in the world in recent years has increased very much. Therefore, Russia is also trying to identify their position. Characteristically, President Putin in his message to the Federal Assembly said “our European friends” and not simply “the European countries.” Russia remains ready to consider them as friends if they are willing to consider our interests. The situation is very difficult, but there are prospects for an agreement, including on sensitive issues such as NATO enlargement is not. But no promises, no guarantees can be expected.

Director of the Center for German Studies, Institute of Europe Vladislav Belov believes that a significant part of German society shares the view expressed in the Declaration. But the government’s position does not coincide with it.

In Germany, have not conducted surveys, which were set to clear questions, not formulated in such a way as to obtain a particular response. Therefore it is difficult to say how German society supports and thinks along the same lines as the authors of the appeal. To some extent you can judge by the blogs and comments to articles. It seems to me that the majority of the discussion participants, in general, agree with this view. Not accidentally closed the Süddeutsche Zeitung comments on articles related to Russian subjects.

If we talk about the official Berlin‘s position here is different. It is extremely tough and condemns Russia’s policy towards Ukraine. This is reflected not only in the criticism of Moscow and support the sanctions, but in excessive rigidity in the Russian top political leadership. While the conflict in Ukraine is not allowed, neither Angela Merkel nor her government‘s position will not change.

“SP”: – Is the German society to accept the position expressed in the declaration, or propaganda has done its job?

– German society is divided. There are actively thinking part of it on their perception of the situation closer to those who signed a petition. Declaration because seeks to strengthen the dialogue on the transition from hard-liners who preach Merkel for talks. There is a call to return the discussion platforms, which closed today an indirect criticism appeal Merkel freeze “Petersburg Dialogue”.

But there is a passive part, which is guided by a propaganda machine. This and television, and print media, which are generally very negatively disposed towards Russia and form a subjective picture, often do not match reality. That part of the society that consumes propaganda cud not accept this treatment. So far I have not seen a large number of references in the German media on this declaration. Quite possibly, it will remain unnoticed.

“SP”: In recent years, we thought our main partner of Germany in Europe. Why is the current tough stance?

This position is associated with a shock that experienced ordinary citizens and politicians in Germany on the speed with which the Crimea moved from one state to another jurisdiction. For the Germans it is unacceptable in view of their historical memory associated with the decoupling and the consequences of the Second World War. They regard the incident as an armed redistribution of boundaries. In Europe and Germany, there is no understanding of the complex processes that occurred after December 1991 is the international legal framework, since the Soviet Union collapsed outside the existing Constitution.

“SP”: The expansion of NATO to the East does not violate the international security system?

The system in general is in deep crisis. Next year marks 40 years of the Helsinki Act. Events in Ukraine became the catalyst that forces a lot of things and discuss the current situation in Europe as a whole. Such a call of politicians and public figures – a good reason to start a comprehensive discussion about the European security system, including Russia’s fears regarding NATO’s eastward expansion.

Generational theory: the world is approaching the tip of another global crisis !

 Generatsioonide teooria: maailm läheneb järjekordse globaalse kriisi tipule

Sorry,Google translation !

Authors William Strauss and Neil Howe has become known for his theory in terms of generations, the mood of the population of certain repetitive cycles. Comparing the history of the theory of these cycles can be noted that the US and the rest of the developed world is increasingly growing in the middle of the global crisis, which reaches a dangerous peak in about fifteen years.
 
In the book The Fourth Turningwrote the authors of the crisis prompted by the amount of precipitation may be something quite ordinary, such as elections or halvaendelist as the economy crashed. This, however, leads to spark a chain reaction in which the basic elements (debt, the disappearance of the middle class, global unrest) connection and lead society to the brink of rupture.
fourth Generatsioonide teooria: maailm läheneb järjekordse globaalse kriisi tipule
Masse led by an invisible government

Strauss and Howe said that the world is a major problem is that those in power to think linearly, making decisions based on their own interests, but in the belief that their actions do not have consequences and that their position does not invalidate anything. In fact, the history and the people running the mood in circular cycles, forming a pattern of a certain regularity. Those who have not taken the time to examine what the consequences of this behavior led, are now struggling with understanding the changes.

Linearly thinkers are accustomed to human advancement can be controlled by various measures, which are described by Edward Bernaysi book “Propaganda”. Namely, the organized habits and opinions of the people conscious and intelligent manipulation of an important element in democratic society. Those who run this mechanism, constitute an invisible government which actually prevails throughout the country. Prevail over the people and their opinions and shape the tastes of the people whom they themselves have never heard of, but who understand the mental processes and social patterns of the masses. This type of control is, however, important to keep a large group of people working together as a functional society.

History repeats itself, the 80-year cycle

However, now come to a new level of cycling history, with the last 70 years, the plan will be worked cracked. Through the media lying, cheating, propaganda transmission, easily available credit, the so-called cheap oil, endless commercial expansion, effortless marketing, ongoing war, the banks and large corporations, elected politicians, high-class in favor of the tax system, and lobbying by the staff of the oligarchs benefit of written laws all of these have been created check the commoners and enrich the modern aristocracy, at least for the 2008 economic crisis. Linear thinkers in government, commerce, banking and the media confirm straightforward triumph of progress, while allowing recovery from the crisis, but in reality, they deliberately ignore the evidence of the history of the situation from a different evolution because they recognize how vulnerable their positions of power.

StraussHowe theory is that history repeats itself in cycles of about 80 years a new crisis comes about 60 years after the previous approach, the crisis peak occurs around 80 years after the last peak of the crisis. Each such a turning point, however, swept away the last of the existing social order. According to this theory, the US kriisitsüklid occurred as follows: first crisis was the American War of Independence (1775-1794 took place, was the peak of the crisis year of 1781), secondly, the US Civil War (from 1861 to 1865, the peak year 1863); thirdly, the Great Depression and World War II (1929-1946 , culminated in 1944), and the fourth global economic crisis (2008 to about 2029, presumably peak of 2025).

Misleading the People’s total

In September 2008, the global economic crisis that started two decades, probably noted the length of the episode begins, whose harsh conditions become progressively worse, the closer we come to the tip of the crisis. This time, most of those in power are trying to implement all kinds of fiscal measures, valeinformeerimise organizing campaigns to keep the attention of the people dispersed and confused houses. Already have managed to convince a large part of the public at 0% interest rates, while the addition of 1 trillion dollars (per year), the already large national debt of the United States, allowing the Federal Reserve to buy Wall Street 3 trillion dollars in debt. It has, however, created a high level of inflation, energy, food, health care and student areas and the real wage decline. All of these changes are advertised as the necessary steps to normalize the situation, but in fact serve only benefit from them the most affluent.

The current state of the US economic, financial, political and legal system indicates a malfunction and does not remember a strong structure to be working properly. This fact, however, masked, and the crowd’s attention is diverted humblest problems – as long as that is not noticed how the state vaesub corporations and bankers skeemitamiste through.

Those in power have no way to sell their arguments on the development, even if the enormous amount of evidence suggests the opposite. In order given to the public’s attention to other issues such as the massacres between the parties nääklused and the constant threat of terrorism in the unseen. A large part of the population is not interested even in these issues and happy to hold it is sufficient mass culture – different contents empty televised fancy celebrity”, independent thinking and discussing foreign films cinema, an obsession with social media, the importance of rapid and short-term rewarding for fast food, etc. The world is filled with trivial problems, unintelligent käpiknukkude, clock propaganda and mindless consumption.

The problems get worse in the world

All of these measures to calm the crowd, however, at some point begin to crack. History repetition of cycles can not be stopped – the people will wake up and demand change that is reshaping the current social and economic environment.

Strauss and Howe wrote his theory in 1997, based on centuries of generations, based on the analysis of non-events, but the mood of crisis in generations, the basic elements. Even before the 2008 economic crisis in the beginning, it was clear that these basic elements – the debt, the disappearance of the middle class, and global unrest and there were ägenemas. Mass media tend to ignore these problems, showing them smaller than they actually are, but if you do a bit of research, it is clear that the problems get worse. Are struggling with debt in the United States, China and several European Union countries, trying to cope with the ever-growing credit debt, student loans, housing bubbles and oil prices.

The disappearance of the middle class does not come as a surprise, given that unemployment is a major problem in the developed countries, and more than 50% of the world’s assets is only 1% of people in. The US is a major problem in the militarization of local police stations, officials preparing for massive unrest, which alienates communities of their rulers, and the so-called defenders. Global anxiety are good examples of Hong Kong, the Middle East and held in Ukraine, as well as the direction of Japan’s more aggressive foreign policy.

Propaganda will not be able to change the course of history

Propaganda can be formed opinions, but can not change the course of history or facts. US national debt has reached a record 17.5 trillion, an increase of 2 billion a day. Consumer debt has risen to new heights, reaching 3.2 trillion. Global debt level exceeds 230 trillion dollars, accounting for 313% of the global GDP. Most of the focus of launching huge corporations earn profits. If countries are trying to solve their debt problems, allowing bankers, politicians and government bureaucrats to determine more debt, reducing interest rates to zero and to enrich the oligarchs, it all ends in disaster. People suffering must be interrupted at some point, and this may occur if the crisis worsens and people are discovering how their assets, hopes and dreams are destroyed.

Given the high percentage of the population is unemployed or working in low-paying part-time job, it is easy to understand how you can grow discontent with the current system. This is how the situation is managed anti meeleavaldamisega, 2011, showed us the Occupy Wall Street protests. Instead, in order to initiate a dialogue with the protesters, the search for solutions that would help ease the situation and take account of their voice, instead of protesters began to oppress the help of the police forces. At the same time it was shown in the media as protesters näotuid, riotously vain young people who just want to cause chaos. In the later stages of the mass media of the United States came into force at the Occupy protests in complete silence – Contribute to the fact that if they do not talk about, it is believed that no protest is taking place, and the whole business will sink into oblivion.

Fight terror waged by the people behind the mask luuratakse

In addition to public voting irregularities Edward Snowden revelations have also shown that the government does not respect people’s right to privacy, at least not if they can justify the violation of privacy, national security issues. If real, these alleged threats to people is, it let everyone decide on their own, but it is certain that the alleged terrorist threat to fight under the guise of a militarized local police forces to monitor citizens’ reluctance to come into, the spread of ideas and potential leaders of the protest.

Global unrest has reached a new level when you look at Brazil, Mexico, Hong Kong, Egypt, Spain, Greece, France and Turkey jerkily demonstrations. It is also lokkamas violence in Ukraine, Iraq and Syria. A number of armed conflicts can be blamed on the decisions of the US armed with various dictators who were useful to them at some point. There are also problems former CIA plans that have undermined the influence of various democratically elected governments. Rampant violence, however, reap the benefits of the war industry and banks can be enormous income from the sale of weapons of war will be financed through borrowing. Contributing to the war is therefore practically equal to the national debt slavery arms and dependence.

What is not discussed in the mass media

The mass media do not talk about how the United States has historically been an armed terrorists who are killing in Syria now massively both soldiers and civilians. It also ignores the fact that, under the reign of Hussein’s Iraq was a modern, stable, non-religious, the oil-producing country, which was not of Al Qaeda or crazily violence. All that changed when the US invaded a sovereign state valeettekäänetel, wasted 1 trillion dollars in state assets, killed more than 100,000 Iraqis and left tallermaaks religious violence in Iraq. Also, do not talk about how the Libya deposed former dictator auxillary leaving the country into chaos and civil war.

The world has reached a point where the heads of the various decisions have an extremely sensitive topics (debt, the disappearance of the middle class, and global anxiety) to high pressure. If the crisis worsens and reaches its peak, the world can be thrown into chaos, which hopefully will not be completed using a nuclear missile of a button. Sooner or later, the debt bubble burst in the world, which leads to the property, labor, rights, and loss of confidence. This process is triggered by the massive civil unrest, which has been quietly preparing for the years of decline of the middle class and the destruction of the current structure of society.

Where in the world are exacerbated by resource wars, religious extremism and the spread of nationalism, the global war becomes an increasing probability. Where would our world and society at the heart of this crisis is moving, it is not yet certain. This could result in a crash if the progress, but it is certain that cooperation, sharing of responsibility, bold positions of peace and co-existence, and inspired leaders are essential to survive the upcoming challenges.

Sources: The Burning Platform (longer article in English, we recommend you read!), Wikipedia.

Timeless: Michael CREMO: The human race has existed for millions of years.

michael cremo 224x300 Ajatu: Michael Cremo: Inimrass on eksisteerinud juba miljoneid aastaid

 

 

 

 

 

Under the heading ‘Timeless’ old publish articles that counting viable. The below story appeared telegrams for the first time on 3 May 2013.

Michael CREMO (64) is an archaeologist and Sanskrit texts researcher, who in 1993 published along with Richard Thompson great work Forbidden Archeology: The Hidden History of the Human Race” (Forbidden Archaeology: the human race Hidden History), whose main hypothesis is that the human race is the Earth top existed for millions of years. CREMO newest book is called “My Science My Religion(In my research, my religion). Telegram published a brief summary of the CREMO recent interview with US radio program “Coast to Coast AM“.

What do the ancient Sanskrit texts UFOs flying in the sky or on the vimana?

Vimana is known under a variety of flying machines in ancient times. Some of them were made of metal and mechanical. North Indian town called Dwarka is believed that 5000 years ago, came down from heaven, vimana, those who attacked the city a variety of weapons straight from heaven. According to Sanskrit texts, Krishna was able to shoot its vimana download vimana and crashed into the sea from the town.

Do you really believe that in ancient times there were these flying machines?

I believe the vimana was different, some were mechanical, and it seems that some of them were interdimensional – they consist of energy and were able to move through the different dimensions. These were the high level of advanced technology built vimana that our perception of reality does not seem to comprehend. The reason why I believe, lies in the fact that thousands of years old Sanskrit texts describe in detail the UFO phenomena, which we are only now beginning to recognize and understand. For example, the vimana their flight patterns are similar to today’s UFO phenomena; they move us against the known laws of physics.

One told a conference of US airline airliner pilot, how he saw the UFO flying in the direction of his tremendous speed immediately before impact and the UFO moved up sharply, the high space. Similar vimanafind descriptions of the ancient texts. They also noted the radar UFOs chaotic trajectory of the movement, and at times, they are also at the same time in different places – for us it remains unclear where the UFO is actually located. Vimana, which attacked the city of Dwarka, at times, appeared to be in different places at the same time feel the sky.

hieroplanes Ajatu: Michael Cremo: Inimrass on eksisteerinud juba miljoneid aastaid
Ancient+Airplane+Vimana+UFO+Precolumbian Ajatu: Michael Cremo: Inimrass on eksisteerinud juba miljoneid aastaid
shakuna Vimana Ajatu: Michael Cremo: Inimrass on eksisteerinud juba miljoneid aastaid
Vimana Where to go?

I guess they have not disappeared, because the UFO phenomena are reported regularly. They did not show himself to everyone, but we have a huge number of credible witnesses who have seen UFOs.

Talk about your latest book, “My Science My Religion(My research, my religion ).

This is a collection of 24 of my written research work, which I have in recent years has presented at major international conferences. Many may think that I am talking about such topics only shows like “Coast to Coast AM“, but actually I‘m talking about this phenomenon in the scientific community, and conferences.

My studies coincide in my spiritual sense and condition. There are people who think that science and spirituality should not be put together. I do not agree. I think that if we want to put together a complete picture of reality, then we must accept the truth no matter where it comes from. I put a book entitled to express it, what is my specific interest in science and spirituality against. Based on the ancient Sanskrit texts, I have created a self-perception of the real history of mankind and the extraterrestrial connection.

Have your studies you are faced with the personal beliefs of the conflict?

I every day I come in contact with new information or new people, or whoever is in my beliefs about conflict. But at the same time, I realized that if, for example, to explore what we can find in books, then we run into conflict often, but when examined all the evidence is absolutely, then the total will go to the bigger picture. When I first started in ancient Sanskrit texts, examination, you got to know that people have existed on Earth for millions of years. It was for me a big contradiction, given all this, I had not yet learned about the history of the university.

So I started to learn all the archaeological history in order to better put together a complete picture. I began to discover other sources of information that supported the Sanskrit texts. I wrote it all in her first major book “Forbidden Archeology(Forbidden Archaeology, 1993).

fa Ajatu: Michael Cremo: Inimrass on eksisteerinud juba miljoneid aastaid

 

Did after the “Forbidden ArchaeologyYou‘re appearing learned something important that at the time did not write this book?

When I Forbidden ArchaeologyI wrote, you are accepting the modern scientific ideas that anatomically modern people are a different species than the history of the famous ahvinimesed” Neanderthals, Homo erectus, etc. But today, I think quite a few of these creatures, whom we believe to be a different species, is actually just a different variety or human-called conversion.

The reason why I think, lies in the fact that anthropologists around the world are discovering the wide variety of human types, even today. We have physical evidence of life of people, some of whom skeletilised details and refer to different features of the ancient human species such as Homo erectus and Neanderthal. If we do not classify the different categories of people today, then we should not do it in the past with people. Perhaps it would be more correct to classify these subcategories.

Tell them a little work, you‘re presented at conferences.

I took the first part of a large international scientific conference in 1994 in New Delhi, India. The work, which was presented, titled “A Time In The Pranic Archeological Record” (prana time according to archaeological data), which describes the Sanskrit texts discovered in people’s existence on Earth millions of years ago. This work was also published in several scientific journals. Archaeological evidence suggests that people have been on this planet for millions of years.

If someone says to you, “Hey, leave a mess, humanity can not be that old,” then what do you say to them?

This is a very important issue. The question “Who we are and where we come from?” Puts a lot of things in place. This is our identity who I am and where I come from. Pondering on such topics helps everyone to set their objectives and goals in this life. If a person does not understand who he is and where he is, he creates for himself and for other problems. These are the topics that you have to explore all the people, not in a way that few scholars lecture somewhere in dispute over how old we are, either 100 or 000 years for millions of years.

The issue is not these specific years, but the fact that we’ve been here so long, it is wrong for our research and education seriously. Most scientists say that people are simply no material machines, which were developed during the evolution from apes themselves a few hundred thousand years. This worldview and self-identity will lead to bad implications, both individually and collectively. For thus become mere materialistlikuteks our goals in life. We are not just machines that are made of matter, but matter made by machines, which are competing with each other for survival.

All of this creates a terrible conflict, we are seeing around the world at the moment. Self-destruction of the planet and the financial crisis, the endless competition, deadly diseases, etc. – all of this because we do not know who we are and where we ourselves really old we are. If we really are so old, you must begin to rethink the origin of a person, and I believe that here in the formula fit in the non-physical elements.

smile Ajatu: Michael Cremo: Inimrass on eksisteerinud juba miljoneid aastaid

 

If we really are so old, why so much of this research has been misunderstood?

The reasons are many. One reason is certainly the fact that today’s education and research in government. Thus, only the idea of a talking point. So something‘s not possible for teachers to doubt it, otherwise they will be your job. Darwin’s theory of evolution can not be doubted! A large role in power. People who are in power do not want to abandon it for any price. Today’s theories of finance, after all, the government monopoly. Thus, they do not immediately recognize it definitely interested in that, perhaps, they are offered by the Knowledge wrong.

All sorts of alternatives is suppressed, so that people will not be able to make decisions on its head. I respect every person’s right to make their own conclusions on human pärinemisloost. But the people who run the education system does not respect this right. They think that only one person ‘origins theory must be applied. This needs to change. They also know that alternative theories are moving towards a much more spiritual.

Would come to be discussed at a higher co-participation of the human race and the creation of non-material consciousness as a part of our body. If such issues would be acceptable, then we would see a very different society than that which dominates today. We would see a society in which the balance between the spiritual and the physical reality would be more in place. People would direct their energy sources consciousness, not physical force to attempt to control the material resources and with a total of Fortunes. Of course, they want the continuation of the previous system.

Suppose that mankind is millions of years old. Have we were brought here, or we somehow evolved into yourself?

We have been here. Our bodies, whether it is the human body, plants or animal body, the soul or consciousness of all interfaces. And it is not tangible. For the soul of the body is just one interface, which they can use for the existence of the material world. Consciousness that all of our own reality, we are much older than any of the material world.

This means that we are all aliens, we are all here inseminated into the universe. We do, however, comes from the soul of immaterial reality. If we can understand this, we are able to achieve collective harmony and cease to exist in competition with various conflicting groups.

What do you think, for example, the moon could be the remnants of previous civilizations who were there before us?

I think so. The universe in which we live, is a multi-level. Here are the different energy levels. We exist at a very close and low frequency energy. We build all of our tools in the material things in large factories. But less dense and high-frequency energy is used for different machines and mental energy. Many ancient texts tell us that the moon and the planets in our solar system have a higher frequency than the Earth, but still tangible. Thus, the technology that they use is different. I think that they are gone before us, not only there, but they are there now.

But what happened to humanity, if we are so old? Have graduated from a disaster of a civilization? Something has happened, possibly even several times.

That’s it. The ancient texts say that the concept of time is cyclical. It reveals that wiped after each cycle of life on planet Earth, and life continues to go above the level of the second reality. Higher densities of physical life, however, there are creatures put on earth to walk again. It‘s like a computer for file storage in the clouds we no longer need large hard drives to keep your files, because we can also do it online within itself. If your device gets damaged, you can re-download your files. I think that the universe is similarly built.

The Sanskrit texts, according to the last 2 billion years, during six hiigelkatastroofi that all life is wiped away. And modern palaeontology says that in the last 2 billion years there has been a huge month caused the extinction event on Earth. Furthermore, it has begun a new cycle. So, if we look at ancient texts or modern science, we see strong parallels.

cremoveritasshow annunakia Ajatu: Michael Cremo: Inimrass on eksisteerinud juba miljoneid aastaid

Additional Sources: Michael CREMO website, Coast to Coast AM

 

 

 

 

Boys are asked Stinger !

Хлопцы просят Stinger. Украинские власти требуют у Вашингтона оружие для элитных частей спецназа

Ukrainian authorities require Washington weapons for elite special forces units.

The hacker group “CyberBerkut” November 25 announced the access to the US State Department documents related to US aid to Ukraine. Hackers claim that information is stored on the mobile phone environment officials from the US Vice President Joseph Biden, who visited Kiev for a visit on November 21.

If you believe the published documents, the US provided financial assistance to Kiev in various fields, including the military. For example, Washington Ukrainian officers paid travel expenses during the exercise Rapid Trident“, which took place this summer in Ukraine. Part of the funds are transferred directly to the card accounts of military personnel.

Some documents tell of US military supplies to Ukraine. It is known that for a long time Kiev is asking Washington to help lethal weapons. Said this Poroshenko during a visit to the US in mid-September. The supply of arms and leaders discussed volunteer battalions” Semen Semenchenko, Yuri Birch and Andrew Teteruk at a meeting with Senator John McCain in November. Finally, before Biden’s visit to Kiev a number of high-ranking officials said that the State Department are considering to provide Ukraine with lethal weapons. But until now, officially the White House to all requests to be rejected.

Declassified materials confirm that the United States put the Ukrainian army counter-battery radar three in the amount of 400 thousand. Dollars. But of particular interest is a file in the Ukrainian language On the priority needs of the logistical support to the armed forces of Ukraine” (marked “for Congress”). It provides a list of weapons that Kiev would like to receive from their American partners. It’s 400 sniper rifles APR, Neckler & Koch and Barrett, 2000 assault rifles of the same brands, 720 hand grenade brand MGL, 200 mortars from 60 to 120 millimeters, 80 anti-tank missiles Javelin, 150 portable anti-aircraft missile systems Stinger, 280 armored MRAP, 1312 Car Hummer, as well as ammunition, mines, remote detonators and other ammunition. A separate document provides assistance to the naval forces of Ukraine, in particular, equipment for 150 combat swimmers.

It is worth noting that the US signed the document yet. Perhaps this is just the wishes of Ukraine. On the other hand, on November 26 in Kiev again flew senior US military, the commander of the US Army in Europe Philip Breedlove. Such activity USA Ukraine suggests the idea that the supply of lethal weapons, if they do not exist a matter of time.

A decisive influence on the course of military operations it can not have weapons – the director of the Center for Strategic conditions Ivan Konovalov. Firstly, it is mostly infantry weapons grenade launchers, rifles and light armored vehicles, and very much like an attempt to create some of the elite special forces, light infantry. These units are unlikely to something fundamentally change. Until now, the whole war was fought mainly artillery pieces howitzers, multiple launch rocket systems. Although clashes also occurred, but they were not decisive.

Secondly, I would note that this list of weapons so far only shows the desire of the Ukrainian side to get it. Will these supply the American side – the big question. I think not. Still, Washington is not one rules the world and looks back on its NATO allies. And they strongly oppose retraction of the Alliance in the conflict. Perhaps the United States only supports the United Kingdom, and even then very carefully. It is one thing war rhetoric, and another – the official transfer of weapons. It is not hard to imagine what the reaction of the militia of Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republic of such supplies. They definitely consider it a direct US participation in the war. Immediately be followed by Russia’s harsh reaction.

The Ukrainian side really wants to get Americans lethal weapons. And it’s not that it is so necessary. Direct supplies of arms Kiev wants to bind Washington. Please note that the list does not, for example, “Abrams”. Present Javelin” – a modern, expensive and a good weapon but in small quantities. Kiev wants to tie the Washington these supplies, and thereby to discover the path to NATO. Although this, too, will never be Ukraine does not match any of the requirements for joining the Alliance. Perhaps in the future, after six years, Poroshenko able to count on it. Although the current developments suggest that in six years will not be fast Ukraine as a state. At least its current authorities are to do that.

“SP”: You said that these weapons characteristic of light infantry. Why Kiev need these parts than they do? Recently, Ukrainian authorities said they were going to create a battalion of “Shadow”, which will deal with specific tasks

– Apparently, the Kiev authorities hope to create some elite units, but believe in it with difficulty. If this happens, they will undoubtedly prepare American instructors. In fact, this subversive groups. They may engage in conduct mobile warfare, rapid deployment of the enemy’s rear. Conventional part, relatively speaking, are fighting on the front lines. Light infantry – a special forces, elite fighters. They are well trained, armed with no heavy guns, namely this set, which is on the list. These parts are usually applied short bounces and wastes act as saboteurs, penetrating the front line.

Kiev authorities have a general problem with the infantry. It was one of the main reasons for the defeat in the war. Technology can not fight alone. Well, a lot of them MLRS, howitzers, tanks. But all this must accompany the infantry, and it has not appeared in Kiev, not to mention the special forces, which did not exist. National Guard under – it’s just thugs who have no training no.

“SP”: – Another promulgated document provides training frogmen”. Than they can deal with, given that Kiev and the fleet is almost gone – really subversive activities in the Crimea?

Frogmen – is also a riot. Americans have it seals, the British – Special Boat Service (Special Boat Service). They have a very well-trained combat swimmers. There is also clearly seen the desire of Kiev to create subversive groups.

The problem for Ukraine is that an open attack on the Crimea will direct aggression against Russia. Poroshenko, and any most rabid nationalist, is well aware. But the use of saboteurs, action and whose belonging to a country still need to prove, that’s another matter. They may commit acts of terror, sabotage, explosions. Such examples are sufficient in modern military history. For example, in Angola, the South Africans attacked our ships staged explosions, but the empirical evidence we had. Everyone knew that it was the South African swimmers, but none have been caught.

It can be seen that the leadership of the Kiev new trend the creation of such subversive parts. I doubt that they succeed. Although the decision is quite logical. Create a large and well-trained armed forces Kiev can not afford, it’s useless. But put together a few elite units, in principle, possible. Apparently, it directed the efforts of Kiev. But special forces, whatever it was prepared, can not play a decisive role in the war. In war, it is all the infantry and modern technology. Where there is no boot infantryman, there is no victory.

Deputy Director of the Center for Analysis of World Arms Trade (TSAMTO) Vladimir Shvarev not rule out that Washington can begin deliveries of these weapons, but not officially.

According to the policy, which takes the US, such illegal delivery is possible. This is a fairly inexpensive weapons systems. Party voiced a few tens of millions of dollars. In comparison with the major weapons systems, such as aircraft, which one is worth more than 50 million. US., A small amount of money. At the same time deliver systems, including mortars, granotomety, MANPADS “Stinger” quite a serious weapon that can strengthen the capacity of Ukrainian troops. These supplies will exacerbate the situation in Ukraine.

“SP”: If the facts of US arms transfers are proven, it somehow weaken the position of the United States?

– The United States will never make excuses, because they are always right. This was repeatedly told US President Barack Obama. If there are any evidence, that such deliveries took place, from Washington will not have any regrets.

“SP”: Why Ukrainian General Staff orders such weapons as MANPADS “Stinger” and equipment for combat swimmers? After all, no militia aviation or navy?

Ukrainian army, according to the President Poroshenko, is going to wage all-out war against Russia. One of the options for the purchase of MANPADS implementation of these plans into action.

If hackers CyberBerkut” not exaggerate version of these swimmers will be used for sabotage in the Crimea, has the right to life. Remains of the Ukrainian Navy relocated to Odessa, and in the condition, in which they were prior to the events on the peninsula. Most ships today is absolutely not for battle. Therefore, if you really ordered equipment for underwater sabotage units, they may only be directed against Russia.

“SP”: Is it normal that Americans actually pay salaries Ukrainian officers, paid travel to exercise?

No, this is an exception to the rule. Recently held a joint Russian-Chinese exercises in China. All shipping costs, fuels and lubricants, travel takes on the Russian side. So what makes the United States direct support of Ukraine. Of course, in such circumstances, it is impossible to talk about the independence of the Ukrainian army. The other day someone called Army of Ukraine branch of the US Army. I agree with this statement.

“SP”: Why then do not bluff Washington and begin openly supplying arms to Kiev?

Because of weapons to hot spots of the world can not be officially delivered. Ukraine is now in a state of internal conflict, and international law supplies the weapons are prohibited. In the case of the US supply openly would violate international law.

China threatens the United States over the Ebola and the Islamic Threat !

Still, China.

Китай угрожает США больше Эбола и Исламской угрозы

What for so long was made silent in Washington, announced at the Center for Special Operations Command Robert Heddik.
Political weight and ambition of China are gaining momentum, and American policymakers are now required to understand that the return of China to the status of a global superpower a challenge for the answer to which may require a lot more effort than during the Cold War, writes Robert Heddik in The National Interest .

The rise of China may have serious consequences for Washington, because it is in the direction of the Asia-Pacific region aimed the strategic aspirations of the American economy. Compete with the Soviet Union during the Cold War was hard, however, to counter the threat from China, you may need to do more– believes the author of the material.

According to columnist Publishing, the American public is not possible to breathe easy” because of continuing threats, including on the part of applying for a revision of the existing geopolitical system.

“The Americans carried the onerous burden of opposition to the Soviet Union for nearly forty years, and now they are involved in an incomprehensible war with radical Islam. Rise of China is not just another challenge for the national interests of the United States, but, perhaps, the most difficult of them” – says Robert Heddik.

According to the International Monetary Fund, the Chinese economy has become the largest in the world in terms of purchasing power, the newspaper writes The Business Insider.

The logic of calculation is that the prices in different countries are not the same. A simple T-shirt will cost you less in Shanghai than in San Francisco, so unreasonable to compare the two economies without considering this factor. The average Chinese citizen earns less than the American, but in normal conversion of Chinese wages in dollar terms underestimated the purchasing power as one Chinese and the whole nation , – stated in the material.

The author draws attention to the fact that the IMF considers as market GDP and purchasing power of the economy, and by this criterion, China’s economy is currently superior to American and becomes the largest in the world.

According to the IMF on the basis of purchasing power parity, by the end of 2014, China’s share of global GDP will be 16.48% (17.632 trillion dollars), while the share of the United States 16.28 (17, 416 trillion),” – says The Business Insider.
For Russia, the transfer of the “center of gravityfrom Russia to China would be a great opportunity to improve the situation in foreign policy. But, alas, the voice of Robert Heddinka so far only one of the few. Should sound a chorus of voices that the vector US policy shifted from Russia to the East, where new red colossus rises, and where did today is the second center of power.

“Apache” Donbas “Oliver Perry” for Odessa ! Establish a program of the United States arms deliveries to Ukraine .

«Апачи» для Донбасса, «Оливер Перри» для Одессы. США разрабатывают программу поставок оружия на Украину

Washington and NATO are going to seriously equip Kyiv. On Thursday, October 9, the Deputy Secretary General of NATO Alexander Vershbow said that NATO stands ready to assist in the inspection of the security and defense of Ukraine, and “help rebuild a strong Ukrainian army.”

We will provide an opportunity to the armed forces of Ukraine and NATO countries to work together,” – Vershbow said in a video message to the participants of the international conference “Challenges of the European security architecture: Ukrainian Context” in Kiev.

A day earlier, October 8, the assistant head of the Pentagon Derek Chollet, speaking at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said that the United States is considering the possibility to supply Ukraine weapon.

As noted by Chollet, on arms asked Ukrainian President Poroshenko. United States initially refused, but now interested in how to develop a program that can eventually lead to this (the supply of arms ” SP “).”

Chollet, moreover, said that the United States is ready to help “independence” to restore the navy and armed forces in general. “We want to see Ukraine and its army strong,” – said the assistant head of the Pentagon.

Recall: September 18, Poroshenko in his address to Congress, the United States asked for his country weapons and military equipment.

What is going to the United States to arm the Ukraine and when?

The United States can solve the problem with the supply as soon as possible, and to provide Ukraine with almost any weapon – says a leading researcher at the Institute of International Security Problems Alexey Fenenko. It all depends on what status will get “independence.”

If Ukraine really get the status of Major Non-NATO Ally (key ally of the United States non-NATO), the Americans, in principle, it can deliver any weapon other than the strategic and nuclear – and small, and armored vehicles, and front-line aircraft.

The second option – Washington may conclude with Kiev special agreement on the supply of arms and armaments to stipulate it to be delivered.

The third option Americans can run a special program of bilateral cooperation, modeled on the US-Georgia to equip and teach“, which operated since 2002.

The fourth option – the conclusion of a special agreement NATO-Ukraine.

As you can see, the choice of the United States is quite large. The only thing that is perhaps a little holding back Washington from forcing the issue with the supply of weapons – the experience of the five-day war in 2008. If Ukraine will lose the new conflict, and American weapons (as it was in the Russian-Georgian conflict) will get a trophy in the hands of the militia, it will be very embarrassing for the United States.

But in general, the decision whether or not to supply weapons to Kiev is entirely dependent on the administration of the United States.

“SP”: This is a complete translation of the Ukrainian army to NATO standards?

Americans have no sense fully rearm Ukraine. The purpose of the United States – to create the illusion of the Ukrainian leadership that Americans support it, to push hard to force Kiev steps. For example, when the need to ignite a new armed conflict.

That’s what Washington once acted with Saakashvili. He also supplied the American weapons is not in order to fully re-equip the Georgian army, and to create the illusion of support and push to heighten tensions in South Ossetia.

“SP”: The Americans could have armed with modern weapons limited Ukrainian contingent, so that this group tried to break through in the Crimea?

In Crimea – is unlikely, then the question is not resolved with the Donbas. American weapons are intended rather for action against the New Russia. United States think sequentially: first, the Donbass, and only then, with a favorable scenario, you can escalate the tensions over the Crimea. While, again, the priority – it Donbass.

“SP”: What exactly do you need from the American arms of the Ukrainian army to act in the Donbass?

I think nothing. Key issues in the Army of Ukraine a low level of training of personnel and inadequate planning system operations, which significantly lagged behind the advanced military practice. Finally, today Ukrainian soldiers almost no motivation to participate in hostilities. It is in these terms the reasons for the defeat in Kiev.

“SP”: But it seems that things are heading towards a peaceful settlement. Why would the United States consider military options for dealing with South-East?

– Military options are always considered. Furthermore, I am convinced that a peaceful settlement of Kiev option takes seriously. He considers exclusively peaceful pause as an opportunity to build the capacity of the Ukrainian army, and then to take revenge in the Donbass.

Besides, Kiev seriously fears that after the Donbas start conflicts around Kharkov and Zaporozhye. Ukrainian authorities are afraid that it will end up in that Kiev will lose more and Odessa last significant Ukrainian port. In my view, the United States does not exclude the escalation of hostilities in and around Mariupol.

“SP”: – What Kiev will pay off with Washington for military assistance?

– Cost of Kiev will be the injection of anti-Russian tension in Europe, inflating military conflict in the South-East, and further driving a wedge in the EU-Russia relationship.

It is unlikely that the United States and forget about the money. Supply arms where there will be military-industrial corporations, and they are in charity, even with political overtones, are not engaged.

Americans tend to start deliveries of weapons from small arms, and then transferred to the heavy weapons, and at the last stage to the supply of combat aircraft, said the analyst, retired Colonel Semen Bagdasarov. The question is how and what Ukraine will pay off with the Americans?

Money from the Ukrainian government does not. This is not Iraq, which in a short time purchased weapons at 43 billion dollars. A significant portion of these weapons bought from the United States Baghdad. However, the Iraqis were paid for delivery of money, the proceeds from the sale of oil, and what is going to pay Ukraine?

In my opinion, the only option available here: providing soft loan to Kiev in the West for military spending. Another question – what will be the size of the loan.

“SP”: which weapons can put Americans?

Rumor has it that Washington, in addition to small arms and communications equipment, ready to put Kiev attack helicopters “Apache” to Ukrainians threw them against the Donbass. However, few deliver the helicopters, you still learn to fly them Ukrainian crews. And it – it is not fast, for retraining could take a year or two.

United States will be able to quickly deliver only small arms, mines and explosive devices, as well as communications and electronic warfare. In principle, the Ukrainian army is arming does not increase. Kalashnikov rifle no worse than the American M-16, the means of communication – a good thing, but they are also fighting capacity will not increase dramatically.

In my opinion, really to equip the Ukrainian army with American weapons would take three or four years, no less

In addition to small arms, armor and military aviation, Ukraine promised to help rebuild the Navy. We tried to figure out exactly what Washington can do for Kiev in this direction.

The fact that today represent the Naval Forces of Ukraine (VMSU), eloquently, in our opinion, wrote the British newspaper The Guardian. Its correspondent Tim Sullivan recently traveled to Odessa, which had taken refuge from the Crimea kicked lumps already ailing ship of the “independence“. And his experience: “Although the Ukrainian Navy is now in Odessa, it is hard to notice. Hidden behind the tanks, in the shadow of huge cargo ships, there are two dozen boats, only some of which are larger than the large yachts, and many badly needed repairs. Government asks for help from his people, to pay the bills. “

If no emotion, in the new main base VMSU found shelter their flagship frigate “Hetman Sahaidachnycorvette Vinnitsa” missile boat Pryłuki” gunboat skadovsk” medium landing ship Kirovograd” and several auxiliary vessels. More different kinds of floating small things, which allowed Russia to escape from the Crimea, hid in Ochakov. Expect that this motley shipping company is able to fulfill at least some serious combat mission for the protection and defense of their own coasts, can not even the greatest optimists admirals in Kiev. Therefore, there is very enthusiastic about the promise of the Pentagon to help in the revival of the Ukrainian Navy.

The only way to do this – to take and give Kiev warships of its own American stocks. And I must say, the work in this direction over the ocean began last April, when it became clear that the sea Ukraine now defenseless neighboring Bulgaria and Romania. And balances the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation can not be used under any circumstances.

Back in the spring the Pentagon ordered the reactivation of standing in the bay Sesun Bay (CA) old ships Coast Guard WLB 307 Planetree WLB 395 and Iris. And he and the other built during the Second World War. Both belong to the category of unarmed lighthouse tenders, and were retired United States Navy in the 90s of the last century. The series was great, so part of the tender has already been transferred as grants Nigeria, Ghana, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Estonia. Now, therefore, in this prestigious series of “Mistress of the Seas” will build and Ukraine.

The public press had reports that Planetree and Iris will soon be towed to Odessa, where emergency and prepare for sea battles. It is expected that this will be used for 30-mm six-barrel automatic gun mount AK-630 around rusting in Nikolaev on board and an unfinished Soviet-era missile cruiser Project 1164 “Ukraine” (formerly “Admiral head-on”). A new name for the gift of tenders in Kiev already thought Hetman Mazepa” and “GetmanBaida Vishnevetsky.”

The representative of the United States Navy Commander Giuseppe Rosetti in the same month, told reporters: “We are now” vacuum cleaner “part of our reserve fleet not only in Sesun Bay, but also in other areas of conservation, trying to determine what we can to give the Ukrainians.” By that time, according to Rosetti in candidates to strengthen VMSU patrol boats were listed types of Cape Point and the construction of 1950-1960, as well as several tank landing ships of LST, standing in conservation since the Second World War.

However, it is possible that Americans are able to offer Kiev and something fresher. For example, the frigates of the “Oliver Perrybuilt 1977-1988 period. They are designed as an ocean escort ships and are outdated though, but enough weapons (anti-ship cruise missiles, “Harpoon”, the 76-mm automatic gun Oto Melara,” the 20-mm six-barrel ZAC Mk-15 “Vulcan PHALANX“, four 12 7mm machine guns, two triple-tube 324-mm torpedo Mk.32 torpedoes Mk.46 Mod.5).

These ships were not considered particularly successful, so the Americans are actively get rid of them. As a result, four of these frigates were already in Australia, six in Spain, eight in Taiwan, eight in Turkey, four in Egypt, two in Poland, one in Pakistan and Bahrain. In 2008, the Pentagon had already discussed the supply of “Oliver Perry” and Ukraine. But it turned out that its modernization will cost Kiev at least $ 100 million. Then there was no money, and the deal fell through.

Whether there will be the necessary finances now? Very doubtful. Is that Washington itself pay and modernization. But then surely arise a new problem: can learn Ukrainian sailors gift horse with rockets Harpoon”? Very doubtful. Because even when the spring is discussed the possibility of transferring Kiev obscenely ancient reserve tenders coastal defense, an unnamed officer of the United States Navy gave reporters a doubt that the Ukrainian Navy, there is a sufficient number of trained personnel to a relatively short period of time to adopt and learn them for such large ships, as Planetree and Iris ». What can we say about the frigate?

The reaction of the Russian Foreign Ministry

On Thursday, the Russian Foreign Ministry‘s reaction to Washington’s intentions. Deliveries of the United States arms Kiev not what you need now Ukraine, it would undermine the agreement to resolve the crisis,” – said RIA “Novosti” the Russian Foreign Ministry.

В противостоянии с США Россия возвращает себе роль сверхдержавы ! / In the confrontation with the United States Russia is regaining its role of a superpower !

В противостоянии с США Россия возвращает себе роль сверхдержавы

Отношения РФ и США наладятся не скоро, уверен автор статьи в иранском издании Iras

Для восстановления своего положения сверхдержавы на международной арене Россия реализует две стратегии.

Первая – это стратегия многополярности для оспаривания международного положения Соединенных Штатов. Вторая – это энергетическая стратегия.

Рассмотрению этих двух стратегий и посвящена настоящая статья.

В 1944 году, на завершающем этапе Второй мировой войны термин «сверхдержава» использоваться по отношению к двум государствам – США и Советскому Союзу. Из-за этого в биполярной системе международных отношений во главе двух блоков Запада и Востока оказались два государства, занимающие ведущие позиции в политике, экономике и военной сфере.

В 1991 году с распадом СССР и крушением коммунистической идеологии внешняя политика России поблекла на международной арене, утратив всякую инициативу, поэтому Соединенные Штаты стали единственной сверхдержавой в целом мире.

Девяностые годы прошлого века отмечены острыми политическими и экономическими кризисами в России, ситуация в которой была усугублена крайней нестабильностью и общественными волнениями. По этой причине у страны не было возможности играть заметную роль в международных делах, а экономическая слабость лишала ее всех шансов в соперничестве с Западом.

В тот период Россия фактически утратила свое международное влияние, и причины этого были самые разные: развал целой империи и возвращение к границам XVII века, экономический спад и социальный кризис, экологические катастрофы, ослабление государства и армии, рост преступности и коррупции, шаткая экономика и высокая инфляция.

Однако, начиная с 2000 года, и особенно с приходом к власти Путина Россия заняла реалистичную позицию по вопросам внутренней и внешней политики и стала добиваться восстановления своего положения сверхдержавы на международной арене.

Сейчас вопрос заключается в следующем: какую стратегию реализует Россия для возвращения утраченных некогда позиций?

Для ответа на этот вопрос необходимо отметить, что в последние годы для достижения этой цели Россия придерживается двух стратегий. Во-первых, это стремление к многополярности и вызов положению США в международной политике. Во-вторых, это реализация определенных мер в энергетической сфере.

Стратегия многополярности является ответом на политику экспансии и однополярности, проводимую Соединенными Штатами. Энергетическая стратегия служит осуществлению национальных интересов России во всем мире и особенно в странах Европы и Азии.

Российская стратегия многополярности

В настоящее время Россия строит свое внешнюю политику на принципе многополярности. Она делает это с учетом международного положения США и в целях обеспечения собственных интересов в плане безопасности.

Судя по официальным заявлениям представителей российского руководства, русские добиваются проведения независимой внешней политики, направленной на создание многополярного мира, в котором Россия должна занять свое место и тем самым сузить гегемонию Соединенных Штатов в международных делах. Чтобы этого достичь, Россия, решив свои наиболее острые экономические проблемы и улучшив собственное финансовое положение, опирается на военный потенциал.

С момента прихода к власти Путин анонсировал три основополагающих принципа своего курса: модернизация экономики, достижение видной роли в процессах мировой конкуренции и восстановление положения России в качестве новой крупной державы.

Тактика и конкретные шаги российских политиков доказывают тот факт, что они крайне недовольны односторонними действиями Соединенных Штатов. Явно с 2007 года, а тайно еще раньше, Россия, поверив в собственные силы благодаря достигнутым успехам в разных сферах геополитики и геоэкономики, проводит политику «прямого сопротивления» американскому волюнтаризму и гегемонии.

Россия при Путине официально не признает однополярный режим как упорядочивающий принцип устройства мира и считает, что он противоречит ее национальным интересам.

Например, в своем весьма резком выступлении на Мюнхенской конференции по безопасности в 2007 году Путин бросил вызов односторонней тактике США и попыткам этой страны установить в мире режим однополярности. Еще тогда российский президент заявил следующее: «Режим однополярности не только не приемлем, но и его установление в нынешних условиях невозможно в принципе».

Он опроверг утверждение о том, что в современной международной обстановке существует «один центр власти, один центр принятия решений, один хозяин и одно правительство», и ясно определил намерение России добиваться установления разумного баланса интересов всех игроков, присутствующих на международной арене.

Другими словами, режиму однополярности, сложившемуся после окончания холодной войны, так и не удалось окончательно закрепиться. Наступательная политика в энергетической сфере с акцентом на собственное положении энергетической сверхдержавы, масштабная программа модернизации армии, крупные поставки вооружения другим странам, несогласие с установлением систем противовоздушной обороны в Восточной Европе и отказ от Договора об обычных вооруженных силах в Европе (ДОВСЕ), установление новых систем противоракетной обороны в Ленинградской области, поддержка ядерной программы Ирана, участие в сирийских событиях и помощь правительству Башара Асада и, что самое главное, отношение к последнему кризису на Украине – все это является ясным доказательством попыток России повысить свой статус в решении международных вопросов, результатом которых и стала напряженность в отношениях с Соединенными Штатами.

Российское руководство убеждено в том, что установленный США однополярный режим существует лишь временно, он неустойчив и действует несправедливо, поэтому последние события в мире, новые коалиции государств и появление таких держав, как Китай, Индия и Россия, бросают вызов этому режиму. Сторонники этой точки зрения считают, что сложившийся империалистический режим не отвечает современным международным условиям, и довольно скоро в мире установится новый баланс сил.

Таким образом, усиление напряженности между Россией и Соединенным Штатами убедило русских в том, что данный процесс может не только еще больше ослабить американцев, но и привести к их международной изоляции. Российское правительство, ссылаясь на современные события в мире и ослабление США из-за их неверной политики в последние годы, считает нынешнюю ситуацию вполне подходящей для превращения своей страны в крупную мировую державу, или, выражаясь иначе, межрегиональную силу, способную влиять на международную систему и принимаемые в ее рамках решения.

Россия решительно добивается нового распределения власти в мировых делах. Возрастающее стремление этой страны к новому разделению власти основывается на прямом несогласии с американской однополярностью и представлении о том, что управление международными делами едва ли возможно без участия российской дипломатии. Путем создания коалиции с такими державами, как Китай и Иран, Россия пытается положить конец волюнтаризму и политике силы Соединенных Штатов на международной арене.

На данном основании Россия позиционирует себя в качестве крупной державы и постоянно в разного рода обращениях по тем или иным международным вопросам критикует США за их однополярность, гегемонию и вмешательство во внутренние дела других государств. Президент Путин пытается позиционировать свою страну как державу, играющую мировое значение и активно участвующую в урегулировании глобальных проблем.

Между тем, Соединенные Штаты стремятся лишить Россию права участвовать в решении международных вопросов. Если Россия вновь окрепнет, влиянию и интересам США в соседних с нею регионах будет брошен серьезный вызов. Декларативные и практические меры России с целью постепенного изменения существующего положения и достижения более высокого уровня в решении судеб мира порождает у американского руководства чувства тревоги за собственное лидерство в международных делах после распада Советского Союза и все больше заставляет его оценивать ситуацию как фактическое сохранение статус-кво, поскольку Россия постепенно набирает силы, а США слабеют. Именно по этой причине США стараются создавать как можно ограничений на пути развития России.

Энергетическая стратегия России: энергоресурсы как рычаг политического давления

Суть внешней политики России при президенте Путине заключается в конкуренции за возвращение своей роли сверхдержавы. По мнению российского лидера, распад Советского Союза в 1991 году был самой большой трагедией ХХ века, поэтому он добивается восстановления позиций России, которые она имела еще в советскую эпоху. В этом ключе энергетическая стратегия России направлена на восстановление ее статуса сверхдержавы.

Обладая самыми большими в мире запасами газа и нефти, Россия на международной арене смогла продемонстрировать свою силу в противостоянии Европейскому Союзу и США. Используя скрытую политику угроз в энергетическом плане, кремлевское руководство полагает, что у Запада, который крайне нуждается в российских энергоресурсах, нет никаких шансов. Поэтому энергетика стала для России мощным рычагом контроля политики Европейского союза и стран на Ближнем Востоке и в Центральной Азии.

Свою энергетическую стратегию Россия разработала летом 2003 года, когда Владимир Путин отвел ей центральное место в российской дипломатии. Тогда в целях сохранения за Россией лидирующих позиций на мировом газовом рынке были предприняты меры для предотвращения диверсификации энергопоставок, особенно для европейских стран.

Запасы нефти и газа играют ключевую роль в возвращении России главной роли на мировой арене. И в Кремле, и в политических кругах других стран существует представление о том, что благодаря своим огромнейшим запасам энергоресурсов Россия способна вернуть себе позиции сверхдержавы. Не вызывает никаких сомнений тот факт, что Россия уже стала сверхдержавой в плане энергетики.

Сейчас эта страна относится к числу самых крупных поставщиков природного газа, а за период с 1998 по 2004 года российский экспорт нефти составил почти 48% от общего объема мировых поставок этого сырья. В настоящее время Россия поставляет на мировой рынок 22% природного газа и четверть от 40% газового импорта в Европу. Нефтяные поставки этой страны составляют 12% от мирового объема, в то время как в Европе доля «черного золота» из России составляет 22%.

Кроме того, Россия контролирует поставки нефти и газа из Туркмении и Казахстана. Таким образом, ее нефтяная дипломатия, в первую очередь, завязана на европейских странах, потому как экономически они сильно зависят от российской нефти. Европа осознает, что это является ее слабым местом, и поэтому ищет альтернативные поставки энергоресурсов.

Активность российской энергетической дипломатии ощущается и в Азии. В этот регион Россия поставляет всего лишь 3% своей нефти. Тем не менее ожидается, что к 2020 году этот экспорт может увеличиться до 20%. В связи с этим Россия пытается не ограничиваться привязанностью только к одному потребителю (имеется в виду Китай), а расширить круг покупателей своего топлива за счет Японии и Южной Кореи.

Итак, Россия превратилась в энергетическую сверхдержаву, поэтому она использует свою энергетическую стратегию для подъема собственного национального духа. Ее руководство заботится о сохранении территориального единства своей страны и предотвращении внешних угроз, в том числе и военного характера.

Для этого усилия Москвы направлены на то, чтобы использовать энергетический экспорт в качестве инструмента политики. Так, враждебные страны наказываются отказом осуществлять поставки в них российских энергоносителей, в то время как сильные дружественные государства наоборот получают всяческую поддержку, а их компаниям позволят инвестировать в развитие российской нефтегазовой отрасли.

Многие арабские страны тоже используют энергоресурсы в качестве инструмента политического давления, однако они бессильны в плане достижения своих целей и, в частности, не могут добиться поражения Израиля. Вместе с тем энергетика играет отрицательную роль в деле становления сверхдержавы. Дело в том, что зависимость от энергоресурсов обычно ведет к незначительному экономическому росту и политической нестабильности.

Однако здесь надо отметить, что в этом плане Россия отличает от других стран. До 1991 года эта страна была военной сверхдержавой, и после распада Советского Союза она частично сохранила его оружейный потенциал, включая ядерный арсенал и современные технологии. Кроме того, Россия, как и прежде Советский Союза, продолжает поставлять оружие в другие страны. Таким образом, потенциал этой страны основывается на огромных запасах энергоресурсов и советской военной технике, что и подкрепляет представление о ней как «энергетической сверхдержаве».

В настоящее время вместо подразделений Красной Армии для давления на Украину, кавказские и среднеазиатские республики используется энергетика, природный газ и связанные с этим компании. Россия способна изменить сложившуюся ситуацию на евразийском пространстве только за счет энергетики. Эта страна приобретает свой новый потенциал для «мягкой силы» и увеличения политического и экономического влияния благодаря огромным запасам нефти.

Начавшееся с 2000 года увеличение цены на нефть и газ привело к экономическому росту России и осуществлению важных реформ в этой стране. Как результат, российское руководство пересмотрело свою внешнюю и внутреннюю политику. В современной международной ситуации нефть и газ сделали Россию настоящей державой и соперником Соединенных Штатов. Энергетические компании России при поддержке национального правительства работают по всему миру. С 2000 года российские нефтяные и газовые гиганты, такие как «Лукойл», заняли видное место в энергетической сфере стратегически важных регионов Ближнего Востока, соседних государствах Восточной Европы и даже в США.

Россия обеспечивает половину поставок газа в Европу. Так, например, в 2006 году Германия на 40% обеспечивала себя поставками российского газа, Греция – на 84%, Австрия – на 78%, а страны Балтии и Финляндия – на 100%.

До прихода Путина к власти иностранные аналитики говорили о слабости и деградации российской экономики, а правительство этой страны обвиняли в коррумпированности и непрофессионализме. Тогда Россия была поверженной страной, не способной установить внутренний порядок. В 90-х годах прошлого века никто не думал, что эта страна когда-нибудь сможет вернуть себе положение сверхдержавы.

Улучшение экономической ситуации началось в 2000 году. Именно после этого благодаря политике российского руководства начала реализовываться идея «России как энергетической сверхдержавы». В рамках данной идеи мощь страны стала трактоваться как использование нефти и газа в качестве орудия усиления собственного влияния на соседние страны и на мировой арене в целом.

В результате этого в 2000-х годах с ростом мировых цен на топливо энергоресурсы стали базой развития российской экономики и сильным инструментом внешней политики и дипломатии. На саммите «Большой восьмерки» в 2005 году Путин заявил, что Россия, будучи к тому же и ядерной державой, обладает самым большим потенциалом в нефтегазовой области и лидирует на мировом энергетическом рынке. И действительно, Россия стала крупным производителем и экспортером нефти и природного газа и обладает наибольшими в мире запасами нефти и урана.

Словом, в 2003 году энергетическая стратегия России недвусмысленно заявила об энергоресурсах как политическом инструменте, а в доктрине 2009 года подчеркивается, что энергетическая тематика является новым направлением внешней политики этой страны.

Выводы

Итак, в своей статье мы коротко рассмотрели стратегию многополярности и энергетическую стратегию, которые применяет Россия в целях восстановления собственного положения сверхдержавы на глобальном уровне.

Как было отмечено, именно с приходом к власти Путина в 1999 году и улучшением ситуации в экономической, политической и военных сферах эти две стратегии оказались во главе угла российской внешней политики. В нашей статье мы рассмотрели стратегию многополярности и оспаривание Россией положения США в качестве гегемона на международной арене.

Испытав сильное унижение в постсоветский период, начиная с 2000 года русские, урегулировав свои внутригосударственные проблемы, вознамерились отомстить США и ограничить сферу интересов этой страны в геополитически важных регионах, таких как Кавказ, Западная и Центральная Азия.

Сделав ставку во внешней политике на стратегию многополярности, в последние годы Россия пытается играть активную роль в международных делах и проводить политику, совершенно не зависимую от Запада и США. С 2000 года Россия всевозможными способами старается нивелировать роль США в решении политических вопросов разных регионов мира и по некоторым из них занимает весьма принципиальную позицию, действуя вопреки воле американцев.

Протесты по поводу размещения систем противоракетной обороны США в Восточной Европе, война в Грузии, поддержка ядерной программы Ирана, поддержка правительства Башара Асада в Сирии, несогласие с военным вмешательством западных стран в эту страну и, наконец, последние события на Украине отчетливо демонстрируют решительную позицию России, направленную против Соединенных Штатов.

Принимая во внимание все эти шаги российского правительства, многие политологи и специалисты по международным отношениям говорят об окончании периода однополярности и начале новой холодной войны между Россией и США.

Подводя итог, можно прогнозировать, что Соединенные Штаты продолжат попытки сохранить нынешнее положение и собственную роль лидера и экспансиониста в мире, а Россия будет предпринимать усилия для изменения существующих условий и установления многополярной структуры в международных делах, бросая при этом вызов империалистическому строю.

При этом существует целый спектр тем, связанных со стратегиями безопасности, который свидетельствует о серьезном соперничестве между США и Россией. Сейчас основная часть международных проблем, в которых проявляется конкуренция между Москвой и Вашингтоном, касается стратегического паритета, проекта установления систем противовоздушной обороны, региональных кризисов в Афганистане, Северной Корее и Сирии, геополитического соперничества в плане расширения НАТО, нынешней дестабилизации ситуации на Украине, а также такого ряда вопросов, как соблюдение прав человека и предоставление политического убежища Эдварду Сноудену.

Таким образом, в настоящий момент все эти проблемы наводят на мысль о том, что российско-американские отношения наладятся еще далеко не скоро. На пути сближения двух стран постоянно находятся определенные негативные моменты, которые препятствуют их развитию.

Google translation !

Relations between Russia and the United States will improve any time soon, I’m sure the author of the article in the Iranian edition Iras

To restore its position in the international arena superpower Russia implements two strategies.

The first – a strategy to challenge the multipolarity of the international position of the United States. Second it’s energy strategy.

Consideration of these two strategies are addressed in this article.

In 1944, at the final stage of World War II, the term “superpower” used in relation to the two states the United States and the Soviet Union. Because of this, in the bipolar system of international relations at the head of two blocks of East and West were the two states, which occupy leading positions in the political, economic and military spheres.

In 1991, with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the collapse of the communist ideology faded Russian foreign policy in the international arena, having lost all initiative, why the United States became the only superpower in the whole world.

Nineties of the last century were marked by severe political and economic crisis in Russia, the situation which has been aggravated by extreme instability and social unrest. For this reason, the country has not had a chance to play a prominent role in international affairs, and economic weakness deprived her of all the chances in the competition with the West.

At that time, Russia has virtually lost its international influence and the reasons were different: the collapse of the whole empire, and return to the borders of the XVII century, the economic recession and social crisis, environmental disaster, weakening of the state and the army, rising crime and corruption, a shaky economy and high inflation.

However, since 2000, and especially since Putin came to power Russia took a realistic stance on domestic and foreign policy and began to seek recovery of its superpower position in the international arena.

Now the question is: what strategy implements Russia to return lost items once?

To answer this question it is necessary to note that in recent years to achieve this goal, Russia holds the two strategies. Firstly, it is the pursuit of multipolarity and challenge the position of the United States in international politics. Second, is the implementation of certain measures in the energy sector.

Multipolarity strategy is a response to a policy of expansion and unilateralism by the United States. Energy strategy is the implementation of Russia’s national interests around the world and especially in Europe and Asia.

Russian strategy multipolarity

Currently, Russia is building its foreign policy on the principle of multipolarity. It does this with the international situation and the United States in order to ensure their own interests in terms of security.

According to official statements made by the Russian government, the Russian press for an independent foreign policy, aimed at the creation of a multipolar world in which Russia should take its place, and thus narrow the hegemony of the United States in international affairs. To achieve this, Russia, deciding their most pressing economic problems and to improve their financial position, based on military capabilities.

Since coming to power, Putin announced the three pillars of its course: the modernization of the economy, achieving a prominent role in the processes of global competition and the restoration of Russia’s position as a major new powers.

Tactics and specific steps of Russian politicians argue that they are extremely dissatisfied with the unilateral actions of the United States. Apparently in 2007, but secretly earlier, Russia, believing in their own power thanks to the achievements in the various fields of geopolitics and geo-economics, pursuing a policy of “direct resistance” to the American hegemony and voluntarism.

Putin’s Russia does not officially recognize the unipolar mode as the ordering principle of the world and believes that it is contrary to its national interests.

For example, in a very dramatic speech at the Munich Security Conference in 2007, Putin challenged unilateral tactics the United States and the country’s efforts to establish in the world unipolar mode. Even then, the Russian president said: “The regime of unipolarity is not only acceptable, but also its establishment in the present circumstances it is impossible in principle.”

He denied the allegation that in the current international situation, there is one center of authority, one center of decision-making, one master and one government,” and clearly defined Russia’s intention to seek to establish a reasonable balance between the interests of all the players present on the international scene.

In other words, the regime of unipolarity, formed after the Cold War, and was unable to finally gain a foothold. Offensive policy in the energy sector with a focus on their own position as an energy superpower, large-scale program to modernize the army, large supplies of arms to other countries, opposition to the establishment of air defense systems in Eastern Europe and the rejection of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE), the establishment of new systems missile defense in the Leningrad region, support for Iran’s nuclear program, participation in events and help the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad and, most importantly, with the last crisis in Ukraine – all this is clear evidence of Russia’s attempts to raise its status in international affairs, which resulted in and became the tensions with the United States.

The Russian leadership is convinced that the United States established a unipolar mode exists only temporarily, it is unstable and unfair acts, so the recent events in the world, the new coalition of states and the emergence of powers such as China, India and Russia, are challenging the regime. Proponents of this view believe that the established imperialist regime does not meet current international conditions, and pretty soon the world established a new balance of power.

Thus, the increased tension between Russia and the United States convinced the Russian is that this process can not only further weaken the Americans, but also lead to international isolation. The Russian government, referring to the current events in the world and the weakening of the United States because of their wrong policies in recent years, said the current situation is quite suitable for the transformation of the country into a major world power, or to put it differently, inter-regional power capable of influencing the international system and taken in the framework of its decision.

Russia strongly seeking a new distribution of power in world affairs. The increasing desire of this country to a new power-sharing based on the direct disagreement with American unipolarity and the notion that the management of international affairs is hardly possible without the participation of Russian diplomacy. Through a coalition with such powers as China and Iran, Russia is trying to put an end to voluntarism and political forces of the United States in the international arena.

On this basis Russia is positioning itself as a major power and constantly in all sorts of appeals on various international issues, criticized the United States for unipolarity, hegemony and interference in the internal affairs of other states. President Putin is trying to position his country as the powers that global significance and is actively involved in the resolution of global problems.

Meanwhile, the United States seeks to deprive Russia of the right to participate in international issues. If Russia is again stronger, influence and interests of the United States in its neighboring regions will be seriously challenged. Declarative and practical measures Russia to a gradual change in the status quo and achieve a higher level in deciding the destiny of the world gives rise to the American management of anxiety for their own leadership in international affairs after the collapse of the Soviet Union and all the more makes it to assess the situation as the actual maintenance of the status quo, because Russia is gradually gaining strength and weaken the United States. It is for this reason that the United States are trying to create as possible limitations to the development of Russia.

Russia’s energy strategy: energy as a lever of political pressure

The essence of Russia’s foreign policy under President Putin is in competition for the return of its role as a superpower. According to the Russian leader, the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 was the greatest tragedy of the twentieth century, so it is seeking recovery of Russia’s position that it had in the Soviet era. In this vein, Russia’s energy strategy aims to restore its superpower status.

With the world’s largest reserves of oil and gas, Russia in the international arena was able to demonstrate its strength in opposition to the European Union and the United States. Using a hidden policy of threats in terms of energy, the Kremlin leadership believes that the West, which is in dire need of Russian energy resources, there is no chance. Therefore, energy has become a powerful lever for Russian control policy of the European Union and countries in the Middle East and Central Asia.

His Russian energy strategy developed in the summer of 2003, when Vladimir Putin took her central place in Russian diplomacy. Then, in order to maintain the leading position in Russia in the global gas market measures have been taken to prevent the diversification of energy supplies, particularly for European countries.

Oil and gas reserves play a key role in the return of Russian leading role on the world stage. And in the Kremlin and in political circles in other countries, there is the idea that, thanks to its huge energy resources, Russia is able to regain his position as a superpower. There is no doubt that Russia has become a superpower in terms of energy.

Now this country is one of the largest suppliers of natural gas, and for the period from 1998 to 2004, Russia’s oil exports amounted to almost 48% of the total world supply of this raw material. Russia currently supplies the world market 22% of natural gas and a quarter from 40% of gas imports to Europe. Oil supply in this country is 12% of the world total, while in Europe the share of “black gold” of Russia is 22%.

In addition, Russia controls the supply of oil and gas from Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan. So its oil diplomacy, primarily tied to the European countries, because the cost they are heavily dependent on Russian oil. Europe is aware that this is its weakest point, and therefore looking for alternative energy supplies.

Activity of Russian energy diplomacy felt in Asia. In this region, Russia supplies only 3% of its oil. Nevertheless, it is expected that by 2020, these exports may increase to 20%. In this regard, Russia is trying to go beyond attachment to only one user (referring to China), and expand the number of buyers of its fuel by Japan and South Korea.

Thus, Russia has become an energy superpower, so it uses its energy strategy to lift its own national spirit. Its leaders concerned about the preservation of the territorial unity of the country and preventing external threats, including those of a military nature.

To do this, Moscow’s efforts are aimed at being able to use energy exports as a political tool. So hostile country is punished by a refusal to supply them Russian energy, while strong friendly states on the contrary receive full support and allow their companies to invest in the development of Russia’s oil and gas industry.

Many Arab countries are also using energy as an instrument of political pressure, but they are powerless in terms of achieving its objectives and, in particular, can not achieve the destruction of Israel. However, energy plays a negative role in the formation of a superpower. The fact that the dependence on energy usually leads to a slight economic growth and political instability.

However, it should be noted that in this respect, Russia differs from other countries. Until 1991 this country was a military superpower, and after the collapse of the Soviet Union, it is partially retained its weapons capability, including nuclear arsenal and modern technology. In addition, Russia, as before the Soviet Union continued to supply weapons to other countries. Thus, the potential of this country is based on the vast energy resources and Soviet military equipment, which reinforces the idea of ​​it as an “energy superpower.”

Currently, instead of units of the Red Army to put pressure on Ukraine, the Caucasus and Central Asian republics used energy, natural gas and related companies. Russia is able to change the situation in the Eurasian space only by energy. The country gets its new potential for “soft power” and increasing political and economic influence thanks to its vast oil resources.

Begun in 2000 the increase in price of oil and gas has led to economic growth in Russia and the implementation of important reforms in the country. As a result, the Russian government has revised its foreign and domestic policies. In the current international situation, oil and gas prices have made Russia the present power and rival the United States. Russian energy companies, with the support of national governments are working around the world. Since 2000, the Russian oil and gas giants, such as “Lukoil”, featured prominently in the energy sector is strategically important regions of the Middle East, neighboring countries in Eastern Europe and even the United States.

Russia provides half of gas supplies to Europe. For example, in 2006 Germany 40% sufficient in the supply of Russian gas, Greece – 84%, Austria – 78%, and the Baltic countries and Finland – 100%.

Before Putin came to power, foreign analysts said the weakness and degradation of the Russian economy, and the Government has been accused of corruption and incompetence. Then Russia was defeated country, unable to establish internal order. In the 90s of the last century, no one thought that this country is ever to regain superpower status.

Improving the economic situation began in 2000. It was after this due to the policy of the Russian leadership was launched the idea of ​​”Russia as an energy superpower.” As part of this idea became the country’s might be interpreted as the use of oil and gas as a tool to strengthen its influence on neighboring countries and on the world scene as a whole.

As a result, in the 2000s, with the rise in world prices for fuel energy resources have become the foundation of the Russian economy and a strong instrument of foreign policy and diplomacy. At the summit of the “Big Eight” in 2005, Putin said that Russia, in addition to being a nuclear weapons state and has the greatest potential in the oil and gas industry and is a leader in the global energy market. Indeed, Russia has become a major producer and exporter of oil and natural gas and has the largest reserves in the world oil and uranium.

In short, in 2003, Russia’s energy strategy clearly stated about energy resources as a political tool, and in the doctrine of 2009 emphasized that energy issues is the new direction of the foreign policy of this country.

Conclusions

So, in his article, we briefly discussed the strategy of multi-polarity and energy strategy, which uses Russian in order to restore their situation superpower on a global level.

As noted, it is with Putin came to power in 1999 and the improvement of the situation in the economic, political and military spheres, these two strategies have been at the forefront of Russian foreign policy. In our article, we discussed the strategy of multi-polarity and challenging position of Russia in the United States as a hegemonic power in the international arena.

Having experienced a strong humiliation in the post since 2000, Russian resolve their domestic problems, set out to take revenge on the United States and limit the scope of the interests of this country in a geopolitically important regions such as the Caucasus, Western and Central Asia.

Making a bet in the foreign policy strategy of multipolarity, in recent years, Russia is trying to play an active role in international affairs and policies, it is not dependent on the West and the United States. Since 2000, Russia is trying all possible ways to level the role of the United States in dealing with political issues in different regions of the world and some of them occupies a very principled position, acting against the will of Americans.

Protests concerning the deployment of missile defense systems in Eastern Europe, the United States, the war in Georgia, support Iran’s nuclear program, support for the government of Bashar al-Assad in Syria, the opposition to the military intervention of Western countries in this country, and finally, the recent events in Ukraine demonstrate clearly the strong position of Russia directed against the United States.

Taking into account all these steps the Russian government, many political scientists and specialists in international relations say about the end of the period of unipolarity and the beginning of a new Cold War between Russia and the United States.

Summarizing, we can predict that the United States will continue to attempt to maintain the current situation and their own leadership and expansionist in the world, and Russia will make efforts to change the existing conditions and the establishment of a multipolar structure in international affairs, while throwing a challenge to the imperialist system.

In this case, there is a whole range of topics related to the security strategy that indicates a serious rivalry between the USA and Russia. Now the bulk of international problems, which manifest competition between Moscow and Washington, concerns the strategic parity, the project of establishing air defense systems, regional crises in Afghanistan, North Korea and Syria, geopolitical rivalry in terms of the expansion of NATO, the current destabilization of the situation in Ukraine, as well as a number of issues such as human rights and political asylum Edward Snowden.

So, now all these problems suggest that the Russian-American relations will improve further away any time soon. In the way of rapprochement between the two countries are always some negative things that hinder their development.

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